Which sportsbooks are slow or off-market on price?
How Far Each Book Prices From The Market
The Answer, as of 2026-08-12
On MLB moneylines 6 hours before the start, ProphetX priced closest to the rest of the market over 30 days, at 0.27 probability points of average distance across 357 quotes, and BetParx sat furthest at 0.77 points. Distance is not the same as being wrong: it says a book is doing its own thing, not that its own thing is worse.
Disclosure: BetMGM, ProphetX, Kalshi, Novig and Polymarket US are affiliate partners of The Odds Gap. The measurements on this page are computed from scanned prices and are never weighted toward a partner. Where a partner ranks is where the prices put it.
What Is Measured
Dispersion: the mean absolute distance between a book's de-vigged price and the median of every other book quoting the same bet at the same moment, in probability points.
Distance From the Market, MLB moneylines, 6 Hours Out
| Book | Distance (pp) | Quotes |
|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 0.27 | 357 |
| Pinnacle | 0.28 | 346 |
| Novig | 0.29 | 356 |
| DraftKings | 0.30 | 356 |
| Fanatics | 0.34 | 357 |
| Caesars | 0.37 | 357 |
| BetMGM | 0.39 | 357 |
| FanDuel | 0.40 | 357 |
| theScore Bet | 0.41 | 352 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 0.42 | 355 |
| Kalshi | 0.43 | 332 |
| Polymarket | 0.48 | 221 |
| BetRivers | 0.73 | 356 |
| Bally Bet | 0.77 | 356 |
| BetParx | 0.77 | 356 |
Two numbers this page deliberately does not publish. The first is a book measured against its own closing price, which sounds like the obvious way to measure staleness and mostly measures how far the game moved: it scores a book badly for having quoted a game that later swung. The second is a ranking of books as good or bad from this table alone. Distance says a book is doing its own thing, not that its own thing is wrong. The follow-up study linked below separates those two.
This table refreshes when the underlying study is rerun, not daily. It was generated 2026-08-12.
How to Check This Yourself
- The 30-day study and its method
- The follow-up that separates wide from wrong
- The machine-readable snapshot
- The price archive every figure here is computed from: free, unauthenticated, one row per scan, book, market and side.
Cite this page: https://theoddsgap.com/reference/book-price-distance, as of 2026-08-12.
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