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Home · Reference · How Far Each Book Prices From The Market

Which sportsbooks are slow or off-market on price?

How Far Each Book Prices From The Market

Distance from the rest of the market at a fixed point before kickoff, in probability points, from a published 30-day study.
The Odds Gap · Measured from our own scans · Last updated 2026-08-12

The Answer, as of 2026-08-12

On MLB moneylines 6 hours before the start, ProphetX priced closest to the rest of the market over 30 days, at 0.27 probability points of average distance across 357 quotes, and BetParx sat furthest at 0.77 points. Distance is not the same as being wrong: it says a book is doing its own thing, not that its own thing is worse.

Disclosure: BetMGM, ProphetX, Kalshi, Novig and Polymarket US are affiliate partners of The Odds Gap. The measurements on this page are computed from scanned prices and are never weighted toward a partner. Where a partner ranks is where the prices put it.

What Is Measured

Dispersion: the mean absolute distance between a book's de-vigged price and the median of every other book quoting the same bet at the same moment, in probability points.

Distance From the Market, MLB moneylines, 6 Hours Out

30 days. Units are probability points on the de-vigged fair price. The field is the median across platform nodes, excluding the book's own platform. Lower is closer to where everyone else was. Offshore books are not listed.

BookDistance (pp)Quotes
ProphetX 0.27 357
Pinnacle 0.28 346
Novig 0.29 356
DraftKings 0.30 356
Fanatics 0.34 357
Caesars 0.37 357
BetMGM 0.39 357
FanDuel 0.40 357
theScore Bet 0.41 352
Hard Rock Bet 0.42 355
Kalshi 0.43 332
Polymarket 0.48 221
BetRivers 0.73 356
Bally Bet 0.77 356
BetParx 0.77 356

Two numbers this page deliberately does not publish. The first is a book measured against its own closing price, which sounds like the obvious way to measure staleness and mostly measures how far the game moved: it scores a book badly for having quoted a game that later swung. The second is a ranking of books as good or bad from this table alone. Distance says a book is doing its own thing, not that its own thing is wrong. The follow-up study linked below separates those two.

This table refreshes when the underlying study is rerun, not daily. It was generated 2026-08-12.

How to Check This Yourself

Cite this page: https://theoddsgap.com/reference/book-price-distance, as of 2026-08-12.

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