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@TheOddsGap

Sportsbook Odds Report: October 2026

How It Works

How often each book had the best price in October 2026, from every price we recorded. Read the answer first, then the full table.

Novig was at or tied for the best available price more often than any other venue with unaffected pricing in October 2026, leading on 55.5% of the 387,488 sides it quoted, which were 4.7% of every price recorded that month. Pinnacle was second at 35.3% of 513,114 sides, then LowVig at 24.0% of 385,078 sides.

Sample: 8,248,090 recorded prices across 20 sportsbooks and prediction markets, 2026-10-01 to 2026-10-31 (31 days with recorded scans).

Which Sportsbook Had the Best Odds Most Often in October 2026?

Best-price share is the share of the sides a venue quoted where its price was at or tied for the highest payout of every venue quoting that same side. Each venue is measured against its own coverage, so a book that prices fewer games is not penalised for the games it skipped. Sample size is listed for every row because the denominators differ.

Coverage is the share of every price recorded this month that came from that venue. It is the check on the share beside it: a high best-price share on low coverage means the venue won most of the few sides it chose to quote, not that it beat the market. With 20 venues recording prices, an even split would put each near 5.0%.

  1. Novig (prediction market): 55.5% of 387,488 sides quoted, over 31 days (4.7% coverage; worst price on 4.7%)
  2. Pinnacle: 35.3% of 513,114 sides quoted, over 31 days (6.2% coverage; worst price on 6.5%)
  3. LowVig: 24.0% of 385,078 sides quoted, over 31 days (4.7% coverage; worst price on 9.4%)
  4. DraftKings: 19.8% of 538,830 sides quoted, over 31 days (6.5% coverage; worst price on 24.3%)
  5. Bally Bet: 19.0% of 575,810 sides quoted, over 31 days (7.0% coverage; worst price on 21.5%)
  6. BetParx: 18.0% of 575,456 sides quoted, over 31 days (7.0% coverage; worst price on 22.5%)
  7. BetRivers: 16.3% of 573,720 sides quoted, over 31 days (7.0% coverage; worst price on 27.6%)
  8. Bovada: 14.7% of 549,500 sides quoted, over 31 days (6.7% coverage; worst price on 23.2%)
  9. Hard Rock Bet: 14.1% of 383,066 sides quoted, over 31 days (4.6% coverage; worst price on 14.5%)
  10. BetOnline: 14.0% of 414,616 sides quoted, over 31 days (5.0% coverage; worst price on 16.2%)
  11. ProphetX (prediction market): 12.8% of 253,172 sides quoted, over 31 days (3.1% coverage; worst price on 4.8%)
  12. FanDuel: 11.6% of 443,414 sides quoted, over 31 days (5.4% coverage; worst price on 19.1%)
  13. theScore Bet: 10.0% of 337,562 sides quoted, over 31 days (4.1% coverage; worst price on 19.0%)
  14. MyBookie: 8.8% of 310,500 sides quoted, over 31 days (3.8% coverage; worst price on 26.4%)
  15. BetMGM: 8.3% of 465,464 sides quoted, over 31 days (5.6% coverage; worst price on 20.8%)
  16. Fanatics: 8.2% of 361,494 sides quoted, over 31 days (4.4% coverage; worst price on 8.4%)
  17. Caesars: 7.5% of 340,040 sides quoted, over 31 days (4.1% coverage; worst price on 12.9%)
  18. Kalshi (prediction market): 4.8% of 339,090 sides quoted, over 31 days (4.1% coverage; worst price on 15.9%)
  19. Polymarket US (prediction market): 3.2% of 345,448 sides quoted, over 31 days (4.2% coverage; worst price on 18.4%)
  20. Fliff: 0.6% of 155,228 sides quoted, over 31 days (1.9% coverage; worst price on 47.4%)

Do Prediction Markets Beat Sportsbooks on Price?

October 2026, measured the same way on both sides. Each group's denominator is the sides its own members actually quoted, so this is not distorted by the exchanges covering fewer games.

Venue TypeVenues Sides QuotedAt or Tied for Best
Prediction markets (Novig, ProphetX, Kalshi, Polymarket US) 4 1,325,198 20.7%
Traditional sportsbooks 16 6,922,892 15.7%

Exchange prices in this comparison are fee-adjusted: Kalshi and Polymarket US include each venue's taker fee and ProphetX its commission on winning bets, so an exchange number is what a taker actually pays. We publish this comparison and not a "share of all best prices" figure, because best-price credit is shared among tied venues, which would hand the larger group an advantage that is an artefact of counting rather than of pricing.

Which Book Led Each Sport?

NCAAF

2,432,232 sides across 31 days. Leader: Novig, at or tied for the best price on 63.8% of the 139,470 sides it quoted, which were 5.7% of this sport's recorded prices.

#VenueBest-Price Share Sides QuotedCoverage
1 Novig (exchange) 63.8% 139,470 5.7%
2 LowVig 17.2% 105,352 4.3%
3 FanDuel 12.0% 142,810 5.9%
4 ProphetX (exchange) 10.9% 129,360 5.3%
5 DraftKings 10.7% 159,342 6.6%
6 BetParx 10.3% 131,404 5.4%

NFL

958,434 sides across 31 days. Leader: Novig, at or tied for the best price on 62.0% of the 50,208 sides it quoted, which were 5.2% of this sport's recorded prices.

#VenueBest-Price Share Sides QuotedCoverage
1 Novig (exchange) 62.0% 50,208 5.2%
2 LowVig 30.8% 48,428 5.1%
3 FanDuel 15.7% 61,880 6.5%
4 ProphetX (exchange) 15.5% 42,586 4.4%
5 DraftKings 13.8% 60,830 6.3%
6 BetParx 11.2% 64,184 6.7%

NBA

649,030 sides across 31 days. Leader: DraftKings, at or tied for the best price on 63.1% of the 103,560 sides it quoted, which were 16.0% of this sport's recorded prices.

#VenueBest-Price Share Sides QuotedCoverage
1 DraftKings 63.1% 103,560 16.0%
2 Novig (exchange) 52.4% 21,552 3.3%
3 LowVig 37.2% 24,260 3.7%
4 Pinnacle 29.9% 23,290 3.6%
5 theScore Bet 26.9% 46,246 7.1%
6 BetParx 19.3% 43,416 6.7%

NHL

536,294 sides across 31 days. Leader: Novig, at or tied for the best price on 74.4% of the 28,952 sides it quoted, which were 5.4% of this sport's recorded prices.

#VenueBest-Price Share Sides QuotedCoverage
1 Novig (exchange) 74.4% 28,952 5.4%
2 DraftKings 16.4% 37,666 7.0%
3 ProphetX (exchange) 9.7% 20,196 3.8%
4 BetOnline 9.0% 25,808 4.8%
5 LowVig 9.0% 25,810 4.8%
6 BetParx 7.4% 29,788 5.6%

MLS

507,668 sides across 31 days. Leader: Pinnacle, at or tied for the best price on 46.6% of the 28,628 sides it quoted, which were 5.6% of this sport's recorded prices.

#VenueBest-Price Share Sides QuotedCoverage
1 Pinnacle 46.6% 28,628 5.6%
2 Novig (exchange) 41.7% 23,376 4.6%
3 Bally Bet 39.6% 45,994 9.1%
4 BetParx 39.5% 46,000 9.1%
5 BetRivers 39.2% 45,634 9.0%
6 Hard Rock Bet 33.1% 23,108 4.6%

EPL

494,006 sides across 31 days. Leader: Novig, at or tied for the best price on 49.0% of the 21,688 sides it quoted, which were 4.4% of this sport's recorded prices.

#VenueBest-Price Share Sides QuotedCoverage
1 Novig (exchange) 49.0% 21,688 4.4%
2 Pinnacle 44.7% 41,378 8.4%
3 Hard Rock Bet 31.3% 20,262 4.1%
4 BetOnline 29.7% 23,060 4.7%
5 LowVig 29.6% 23,060 4.7%
6 Bovada 27.1% 50,878 10.3%

Serie A

432,618 sides across 31 days. Leader: Pinnacle, at or tied for the best price on 53.0% of the 44,148 sides it quoted, which were 10.2% of this sport's recorded prices.

#VenueBest-Price Share Sides QuotedCoverage
1 Pinnacle 53.0% 44,148 10.2%
2 Novig (exchange) 42.5% 18,362 4.2%
3 Bovada 30.9% 52,100 12.0%
4 ProphetX (exchange) 24.7% 8,012 1.9%
5 BetOnline 22.1% 23,894 5.5%
6 LowVig 21.2% 23,894 5.5%

Champions League

417,318 sides across 31 days. Leader: Pinnacle, at or tied for the best price on 45.9% of the 39,646 sides it quoted, which were 9.5% of this sport's recorded prices.

#VenueBest-Price Share Sides QuotedCoverage
1 Pinnacle 45.9% 39,646 9.5%
2 BetRivers 34.5% 36,440 8.7%
3 Bally Bet 34.1% 35,990 8.6%
4 Novig (exchange) 28.5% 20,774 5.0%
5 BetParx 28.4% 35,990 8.6%
6 Hard Rock Bet 27.8% 18,610 4.5%

La Liga

409,250 sides across 31 days. Leader: Pinnacle, at or tied for the best price on 58.8% of the 46,342 sides it quoted, which were 11.3% of this sport's recorded prices.

#VenueBest-Price Share Sides QuotedCoverage
1 Pinnacle 58.8% 46,342 11.3%
2 Novig (exchange) 46.8% 16,688 4.1%
3 BetParx 34.1% 37,824 9.2%
4 Bally Bet 34.1% 37,828 9.2%
5 BetRivers 33.5% 37,464 9.2%
6 Hard Rock Bet 29.8% 19,372 4.7%

Ligue 1

357,798 sides across 31 days. Leader: Pinnacle, at or tied for the best price on 62.1% of the 40,630 sides it quoted, which were 11.4% of this sport's recorded prices.

#VenueBest-Price Share Sides QuotedCoverage
1 Pinnacle 62.1% 40,630 11.4%
2 Novig (exchange) 44.6% 8,322 2.3%
3 Bovada 32.9% 49,030 13.7%
4 LowVig 30.6% 15,978 4.5%
5 BetOnline 30.2% 17,384 4.9%
6 BetParx 19.2% 35,254 9.9%

Bundesliga

347,932 sides across 31 days. Leader: Pinnacle, at or tied for the best price on 63.2% of the 43,788 sides it quoted, which were 12.6% of this sport's recorded prices.

#VenueBest-Price Share Sides QuotedCoverage
1 Pinnacle 63.2% 43,788 12.6%
2 Novig (exchange) 39.8% 14,372 4.1%
3 BetOnline 28.0% 17,870 5.1%
4 BetRivers 27.8% 26,020 7.5%
5 Bally Bet 27.5% 25,836 7.4%
6 BetParx 27.5% 25,838 7.4%

Tennis

255,884 sides across 31 days. Leader: Kalshi, at or tied for the best price on 99.8% of the 7,016 sides it quoted, which were 2.7% of this sport's recorded prices.

#VenueBest-Price Share Sides QuotedCoverage
1 Kalshi (exchange) 99.8% 7,016 2.7%
2 Pinnacle 40.4% 16,410 6.4%
3 FanDuel 17.3% 17,604 6.9%
4 Hard Rock Bet 15.4% 17,932 7.0%
5 LowVig 13.9% 14,632 5.7%
6 BetOnline 13.9% 14,628 5.7%

UFC

255,734 sides across 31 days. Leader: Novig, at or tied for the best price on 38.5% of the 14,754 sides it quoted, which were 5.8% of this sport's recorded prices.

#VenueBest-Price Share Sides QuotedCoverage
1 Novig (exchange) 38.5% 14,754 5.8%
2 BetOnline 30.3% 24,866 9.7%
3 Pinnacle 18.5% 18,136 7.1%
4 BetMGM 15.3% 8,656 3.4%
5 Caesars 12.4% 20,116 7.9%
6 Hard Rock Bet 12.1% 18,314 7.2%

MLB

94,298 sides across 28 days. Leader: Novig, at or tied for the best price on 79.3% of the 4,214 sides it quoted, which were 4.5% of this sport's recorded prices.

#VenueBest-Price Share Sides QuotedCoverage
1 Novig (exchange) 79.3% 4,214 4.5%
2 ProphetX (exchange) 13.3% 4,940 5.2%
3 LowVig 12.0% 4,942 5.2%
4 Pinnacle 6.5% 4,790 5.1%
5 BetRivers 6.4% 4,926 5.2%
6 Bally Bet 5.5% 4,998 5.3%

WNBA

60,670 sides across 31 days. Leader: Novig, at or tied for the best price on 46.0% of the 3,898 sides it quoted, which were 6.4% of this sport's recorded prices.

#VenueBest-Price Share Sides QuotedCoverage
1 Novig (exchange) 46.0% 3,898 6.4%
2 LowVig 22.2% 3,018 5.0%
3 theScore Bet 13.6% 3,848 6.3%
4 Bally Bet 11.9% 2,782 4.6%
5 BetParx 11.8% 2,784 4.6%
6 Bovada 11.1% 2,896 4.8%

NCAAB

38,924 sides across 9 days. Leader: LowVig, at or tied for the best price on 77.5% of the 1,676 sides it quoted, which were 4.3% of this sport's recorded prices.

#VenueBest-Price Share Sides QuotedCoverage
1 LowVig 77.5% 1,676 4.3%
2 DraftKings 41.6% 4,860 12.5%
3 Caesars 39.1% 3,076 7.9%
4 Fanatics 37.2% 4,404 11.3%
5 theScore Bet 33.1% 2,438 6.3%
6 Hard Rock Bet 29.2% 3,196 8.2%

What Was the Widest Price Gap of the Month?

The largest single moneyline gap recorded in October 2026 was 12.9 percentage points of implied probability, on Ball State Cardinals at Georgia Southern Eagles (NCAAB). Fanatics paid -125 on Ball State Cardinals, where Kalshi paid -217.

Drawn from 49,384 gap observations recorded in October 2026. This is a single recorded scan, not an average.

How Is This Measured, and What Does It Not Measure?

On every scan we record each venue's price on both sides of every game, then count how often each venue was at or tied for the highest payout on a side it quoted. Ties credit every venue holding the top price, so a book that consistently matches the market's best is not scored as though it lost. The full arithmetic, including how prediction-market fees are applied before any comparison, is on the methodology page.

This is best-or-tied share of each venue's own quoted sides. It is not the matched-lines metric. Because the denominator is only the sides a venue chose to quote, this measure rewards selective quoting: a venue that prices a narrow slice of the market and skips the rest can post a high share without ever beating the field on a like-for-like bet. That is what the coverage column beside each figure is there to expose.

The stricter measure, and this site's single source of truth for who actually has the best prices, is matched lines: it keeps only the games where every venue in the comparison quoted the same market at the same line, and ranks who won the price on those. It discards far more data and is much harder to lead. On that measure the exchanges do not lead, and no book dominates. The live matched-lines view is on Book Comparison, and the reasoning is set out in the correction of July 26, 2026. Where the two measures disagree, matched lines is the one to believe.

Data: 2026-10-01 to 2026-10-31. Generated November 15, 2026 at 05:10 PM ET. October 2026 has closed, so this report is final and is not revised.

The Odds Gap publishes where the same bet paid more. It does not sell picks and makes no income claims. Always verify a price at the book before placing any bet.

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