New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills
October 4, 2026 · 1:05 PM ET
This page is the October 4, 2026 meeting. See the current New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills page →
New England Patriots 29 Buffalo Bills 26 Final
Novig paid the most on New England Patriots at +285, against +235 at Bally Bet. Same bet, same result: $50.00 more profit on a $100 stake, out of the 14 books that priced it.
Line History
Moneyline Line History
Spread Line History
Total Line History
About These Charts
Closing Moneyline last quotes before start
Closing prices as of October 4, 1:03 PM ET. These do not move again. Today's NFL odds.
| Book | New England Patriots | Buffalo Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Novig | +285 | -292 |
| Polymarket US | +281 | -285 |
| FanDuel | +280 | -350 |
| BetOnline | +275 | -341 |
| DraftKings | +275 | -345 |
| LowVig | +275 | -341 |
| BetMGM | +270 | -325 |
| ProphetX | +270 | -291 |
| theScore Bet | +270 | -340 |
| MyBookie | +269 | -339 |
| Kalshi | +265 | -304 |
| Caesars | +260 | -325 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +260 | -325 |
| Pinnacle | +259 | -302 |
| Bovada | +250 | -300 |
| Fanatics | +250 | -350 |
| BetParx | +245 | -335 |
| BetRivers | +245 | -335 |
| Bally Bet | +235 | -345 |
| Fliff | +230 | -320 |
Closing Spread best flagged at +7 / -7
| Book | New England Patriots | Buffalo Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Novig | +7.5 -133 | -7.5 +115 |
| Polymarket US | +7.5 -125 | -7.5 +122 |
| FanDuel | +6.5 +100 | -6.5 -122 |
| BetOnline | +7 -115 | -7 -105 |
| DraftKings | +7 -112 | -7 -108 |
| LowVig | +7 -110 | -7 +100 |
| BetMGM | +7 -118 | -7 -102 |
| ProphetX | +7 -114 | -7 -106 |
| theScore Bet | +6.5 +100 | -6.5 -120 |
| MyBookie | +7 -120 | -7 +100 |
| Kalshi | +7.5 -141 | -7.5 +118 |
| Caesars | +6.5 +100 | -6.5 -120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +7.5 -120 | -7.5 +100 |
| Pinnacle | +7 -113 | -7 +102 |
| Bovada | +6.5 +100 | -6.5 -120 |
| Fanatics | +6.5 -105 | -6.5 -125 |
| BetParx | +7 -117 | -7 -110 |
| BetRivers | +7 -117 | -7 -110 |
| Bally Bet | +7 -120 | -7 -114 |
| Fliff | +6.5 -105 | -6.5 -130 |
Closing Total best flagged at 49.5
| Book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Novig | 49.5 +100 | 49.5 -108 |
| Polymarket US | 49.5 +102 | 49.5 -104 |
| FanDuel | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 |
| BetOnline | 49 -107 | 49 -113 |
| DraftKings | 49.5 -108 | 49.5 -112 |
| LowVig | 49 -104 | 49 -110 |
| BetMGM | 49 -110 | 49 -108 |
| ProphetX | 49.5 -109 | 49.5 -112 |
| theScore Bet | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 |
| MyBookie | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 |
| Kalshi | 49.5 -107 | 49.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 49.5 -109 | 49.5 -112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 |
| Pinnacle | 49.5 +100 | 49.5 -112 |
| Bovada | 49 -110 | 49 -110 |
| Fanatics | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -120 |
| BetParx | 50 -117 | 50 -110 |
| BetRivers | 50 -117 | 50 -110 |
| Bally Bet | 50 -121 | 50 -114 |
| Fliff | 48.5 -120 | 48.5 -110 |
Where Pinnacle's Line Opened, and Where It Closed
This game was listed before Pinnacle priced it, so the number below is Pinnacle's earliest price on it rather than the first number anyone posted. It was actually posted, it is stamped with its own time, and the market may already have moved before it existed.
- New England Patriots: PINN open +259, closed +280 (longer)
- Buffalo Bills: PINN open -302, closed -325 (shorter)
Moneyline, Open to Final
Reference market: Pinnacle
About This Chart
Pinnacle's moneyline from the first price we captured on Sep 27 to the end of the game: 119 pregame readings, then 168 in-game readings over 190 minutes. The dashed line is kickoff. The pregame side is drawn on a shorter time scale than the game so the game gets most of the width. Plotted as win probability with the vig removed, so the two sides sum to 100%. Pinnacle is the reference market because it prices every game before and during play, and one book keeps the line continuous. It is not a US-licensed book and is never shown as a best price here. Hover or press the chart for the American price at any moment. The Spread and Total views draw Pinnacle's main line at each reading as a step, so every move from one number to the next shows where it happened, with the prices in the readout.
About These Closing Odds
Every price on this page is a book's own last quote strictly before New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills started, taken from our scan archive. A book that stopped pricing the game early still shows the number it closed at, and a book that never priced it is not listed. 20 books priced this game. Prediction market prices include trading fees wherever a fee applies, so they are directly comparable to sportsbook lines. See how we calculate this.
This page is permanent. The closing prices above do not change again, and the page keeps them at this address after the game, the season and the rematch, so it stays a citable record of what this line actually closed at.
For today's games, open the NFL board or the Line Shop.
Cite this page: https://theoddsgap.com/odds/nfl/new-england-patriots-vs-buffalo-bills, final October 4, 2026.
Next Up For These Teams
- New England Patriots: Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots odds · Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
- Buffalo Bills: Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams odds · Mon Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET
NFL Games Coming Up
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys odds · Thu Oct 8, 8:15 PM ET
- Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars odds · Sun Oct 11, 9:30 AM ET
- Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets odds · Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
- Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots odds · Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
- Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins odds · Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
The Odds Gap Daily
One email each morning with the biggest gaps on the board.
Looking for live prices? Use Unlock Live at the top of the page.