Past results, not predictions. The betting line already reflects most of what is on this page.
Receiving Yards: 59.5
Best Over +150 at Novig · vs Los Angeles Chargers
1 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
1 of 5
Over 59.5 · avg 26.6
Last 10
2 of 10
Over 59.5 · avg 38.4
All Games Stored
3 of 18
Over 59.5 · avg 36.9
Home
1 of 10
Over 59.5 · avg 38.3
Away
2 of 8
Over 59.5 · avg 35.2
3+ Days Rest
3 of 16
Over 59.5 · avg 40.4
vs Top 10 Defenses
0 of 5
Over 59.5 · avg 15.6
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
1 of 9
Over 59.5 · avg 42.4
Night Games
1 of 9
Over 59.5 · avg 30.4
Day Games
2 of 9
Over 59.5 · avg 43.4
Outdoors
1 of 16
Over 59.5 · avg 33.4
Game Log
Receptions: 4.5
Best Over +104 at Novig · Best Under -130 at Novig · vs Los Angeles Chargers
1 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
1 of 5
Over 4.5 · avg 2.8
Last 10
1 of 10
Over 4.5 · avg 2.9
All Games Stored
4 of 18
Over 4.5 · avg 3.1
Home
3 of 10
Over 4.5 · avg 3.2
Away
1 of 8
Over 4.5 · avg 3
3+ Days Rest
4 of 16
Over 4.5 · avg 3.3
vs Top 10 Defenses
0 of 8
Over 4.5 · avg 2.4
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
3 of 7
Over 4.5 · avg 3.7
Night Games
3 of 9
Over 4.5 · avg 3.1
Day Games
1 of 9
Over 4.5 · avg 3.1
Outdoors
4 of 16
Over 4.5 · avg 3
Game Log
Passing Yards
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026at Las Vegas Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 14, 2026vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Tennessee Titans
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 7, 2025vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 23, 2025vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Passing TDs
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026at Las Vegas Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 14, 2026vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Tennessee Titans
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 7, 2025vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 23, 2025vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Rushing Yards
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026at Las Vegas Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 14, 2026vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025vs Denver Broncos
1 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Tennessee Titans
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 7, 2025vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025at Dallas Cowboys
13 · No closing line stored
Nov 23, 2025vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Pass Attempts
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026at Las Vegas Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 14, 2026vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Tennessee Titans
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 7, 2025vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 23, 2025vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Pass Completions
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026at Las Vegas Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 14, 2026vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Tennessee Titans
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 7, 2025vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 23, 2025vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Interceptions Thrown
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026at Las Vegas Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 14, 2026vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Tennessee Titans
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 7, 2025vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 23, 2025vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Pass + Rush Yards
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026at Las Vegas Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 14, 2026vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025vs Denver Broncos
1 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Tennessee Titans
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 7, 2025vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025at Dallas Cowboys
13 · No closing line stored
Nov 23, 2025vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Pass + Rush + Rec Yards
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026at Las Vegas Raiders
70 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Miami Dolphins
20 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Indianapolis Colts
25 · No closing line stored
Sep 14, 2026vs Denver Broncos
18 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025vs Denver Broncos
1 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Tennessee Titans
41 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
35 · No closing line stored
Dec 7, 2025vs Houston Texans
55 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025at Dallas Cowboys
74 · No closing line stored
Nov 23, 2025vs Indianapolis Colts
59 · No closing line stored
Rush Attempts
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026at Las Vegas Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 14, 2026vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025vs Denver Broncos
1 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Tennessee Titans
1 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 7, 2025vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025at Dallas Cowboys
2 · No closing line stored
Nov 23, 2025vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Longest Rush
0 of 9 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Dec 25, 2025vs Denver Broncos
1 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Tennessee Titans
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025at Dallas Cowboys
17 · No closing line stored
Nov 2, 2025at Buffalo Bills
7 · No closing line stored
Oct 19, 2025vs Las Vegas Raiders
13 · No closing line stored
Oct 12, 2025vs Detroit Lions
6 · No closing line stored
Oct 6, 2025at Jacksonville Jaguars
9 · No closing line stored
Sep 28, 2025vs Baltimore Ravens
35 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2025at Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Longest Reception
1 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at; fewer than 5, not shown as a rate.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026at Las Vegas Raiders
41 · Closed at 17.5, Over
Sep 27, 2026at Miami Dolphins
17 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Indianapolis Colts
16 · No closing line stored
Sep 14, 2026vs Denver Broncos
9 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Tennessee Titans
28 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
26 · No closing line stored
Dec 7, 2025vs Houston Texans
23 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025at Dallas Cowboys
42 · No closing line stored
Nov 23, 2025vs Indianapolis Colts
31 · No closing line stored
Rush + Rec Yards
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026at Las Vegas Raiders
70 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Miami Dolphins
20 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Indianapolis Colts
25 · No closing line stored
Sep 14, 2026vs Denver Broncos
18 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025vs Denver Broncos
1 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Tennessee Titans
41 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
35 · No closing line stored
Dec 7, 2025vs Houston Texans
55 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025at Dallas Cowboys
74 · No closing line stored
Nov 23, 2025vs Indianapolis Colts
59 · No closing line stored
Touchdowns
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026at Las Vegas Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Indianapolis Colts
1 · No closing line stored
Sep 14, 2026vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Tennessee Titans
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 7, 2025vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 23, 2025vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Kicking Points
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026at Las Vegas Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 14, 2026vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Tennessee Titans
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 7, 2025vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 23, 2025vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Field Goals
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026at Las Vegas Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 14, 2026vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Tennessee Titans
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 7, 2025vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 23, 2025vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Extra Points Made
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026at Las Vegas Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 14, 2026vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Tennessee Titans
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 7, 2025vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 23, 2025vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Sacks
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026at Las Vegas Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 14, 2026vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Tennessee Titans
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 7, 2025vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 23, 2025vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Solo Tackles
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026at Las Vegas Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Miami Dolphins
1 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 14, 2026vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Tennessee Titans
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 7, 2025vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 23, 2025vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Tackles + Assists
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026at Las Vegas Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Miami Dolphins
1 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 14, 2026vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Tennessee Titans
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 7, 2025vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 23, 2025vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Defensive INTs
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026at Las Vegas Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 14, 2026vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025vs Denver Broncos
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Tennessee Titans
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 7, 2025vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 23, 2025vs Indianapolis Colts
0 · No closing line stored
How These Hit Rates Are Counted
The line. Every count is against the line most books hang on this prop today, the line shown at the top of each section. A game exactly on a whole-number line is a push and shown as one.
The game log. Each past game shows the stat and, where we stored the prop's closing line for that game, the line it closed at and whether the stat went over, under or pushed against it. A game with no stored closing line shows the stat alone.
The games. From the box scores ESPN publishes, stored once per game, the same numbers the site's prop grading reads. Last season is kept for the whole season. A split with fewer than 5 games is hidden, never shown as a streak.
Opponents. Top 10 and Bottom 10 defenses are ranked from our own logs: the total of this stat every opposing player recorded against a team, per game, over the last 150 days.
Rest, travel and conditions. From each game's own context: days since the team's previous game, and for outdoor football the weather at the nearest airport weather station closest to kickoff (from the National Weather Service, or for games more than a week old the Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive of the same stations). Indoor games are never given weather.
Past results, not predictions. The betting line already reflects most of what is on this page.
