Past results, not predictions. The betting line already reflects most of what is on this page.
Passing Yards: 277.5
Best Over -113 at Novig · Best Under -113 at Novig · vs Green Bay Packers
2 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 277.5 · avg 276.2
Last 10
6 of 10
Over 277.5 · avg 267.2
This Season
3 of 5
Over 277.5 · avg 276.2
All Games Stored
10 of 22
Over 277.5 · avg 269.7
Home
7 of 11
Over 277.5 · avg 297.9
Away
3 of 11
Over 277.5 · avg 241.5
3+ Days Rest
10 of 20
Over 277.5 · avg 278.5
vs Top 10 Defenses
3 of 8
Over 277.5 · avg 236
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
5 of 9
Over 277.5 · avg 291.2
Night Games
6 of 10
Over 277.5 · avg 281.3
Day Games
4 of 12
Over 277.5 · avg 260
Indoors
9 of 13
Over 277.5 · avg 306.2
Outdoors
1 of 9
Over 277.5 · avg 217
Line history: closed higher than it opened in 2 of 5 past games (0 lower, 3 unchanged).
Game Log
Passing TDs: 1.5
Best Over -167 at Novig · Best Under +113 at Novig · vs Green Bay Packers
2 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
2 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 1.8
Last 10
4 of 10
Over 1.5 · avg 1.4
This Season
2 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 1.8
All Games Stored
12 of 22
Over 1.5 · avg 1.8
Home
7 of 11
Over 1.5 · avg 1.9
Away
5 of 11
Over 1.5 · avg 1.6
3+ Days Rest
11 of 20
Over 1.5 · avg 1.9
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
7 of 10
Over 1.5 · avg 2.3
Night Games
5 of 10
Over 1.5 · avg 1.6
Day Games
7 of 12
Over 1.5 · avg 1.9
Indoors
8 of 13
Over 1.5 · avg 2
Outdoors
4 of 9
Over 1.5 · avg 1.4
Line history: closed higher than it opened in 0 of 5 past games (0 lower, 5 unchanged).
Game Log
Rushing Yards
2 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at; fewer than 5, not shown as a rate.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · Closed at 9.5, Under
Oct 4, 2026at Houston Texans
7 · Closed at 9.5, Under
Sep 27, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
19 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Washington Commanders
26 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at New York Giants
14 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026at New York Giants
-1 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025at Washington Commanders
24 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
14 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Minnesota Vikings
2 · No closing line stored
Dec 4, 2025at Detroit Lions
14 · No closing line stored
Receiving Yards
0 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026at Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025at Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 4, 2025at Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Receptions
0 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026at Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025at Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 4, 2025at Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Pass Attempts
2 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at; fewer than 5, not shown as a rate.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
42 · Closed at 33.5, Over
Oct 4, 2026at Houston Texans
45 · Closed at 35.5, Over
Sep 27, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
40 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Washington Commanders
31 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at New York Giants
34 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026at New York Giants
11 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025at Washington Commanders
37 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
30 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Minnesota Vikings
38 · No closing line stored
Dec 4, 2025at Detroit Lions
47 · No closing line stored
Pass Completions
2 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at; fewer than 5, not shown as a rate.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
24 · Closed at 23.5, Over
Oct 4, 2026at Houston Texans
32 · Closed at 24.5, Over
Sep 27, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
25 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Washington Commanders
26 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at New York Giants
22 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026at New York Giants
7 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025at Washington Commanders
19 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
21 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Minnesota Vikings
23 · No closing line stored
Dec 4, 2025at Detroit Lions
31 · No closing line stored
Interceptions Thrown
2 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at; fewer than 5, not shown as a rate.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2 · Closed at 0.5, Over
Oct 4, 2026at Houston Texans
0 · Closed at 0.5, Under
Sep 27, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at New York Giants
1 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025at Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 4, 2025at Detroit Lions
2 · No closing line stored
Longest Completion
2 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at; fewer than 5, not shown as a rate.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
48 · Closed at 38.5, Over
Oct 4, 2026at Houston Texans
53 · Closed at 39.5, Over
Sep 27, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
49 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Washington Commanders
38 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at New York Giants
17 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026at New York Giants
23 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025at Washington Commanders
86 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
38 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Minnesota Vikings
30 · No closing line stored
Dec 4, 2025at Detroit Lions
42 · No closing line stored
Pass + Rush Yards
1 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at; fewer than 5, not shown as a rate.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
316 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026at Houston Texans
342 · Closed at 282.5, Over
Sep 27, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
295 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Washington Commanders
305 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at New York Giants
189 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026at New York Giants
69 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025at Washington Commanders
331 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
258 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Minnesota Vikings
296 · No closing line stored
Dec 4, 2025at Detroit Lions
390 · No closing line stored
Pass + Rush + Rec Yards
0 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
316 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026at Houston Texans
342 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
295 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Washington Commanders
305 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at New York Giants
189 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026at New York Giants
69 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025at Washington Commanders
331 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
258 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Minnesota Vikings
296 · No closing line stored
Dec 4, 2025at Detroit Lions
390 · No closing line stored
Rush Attempts
2 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at; fewer than 5, not shown as a rate.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · Closed at 3.5, Under
Oct 4, 2026at Houston Texans
2 · Closed at 2.5, Under
Sep 27, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
4 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Washington Commanders
4 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at New York Giants
2 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026at New York Giants
2 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025at Washington Commanders
4 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
2 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Minnesota Vikings
1 · No closing line stored
Dec 4, 2025at Detroit Lions
3 · No closing line stored
Longest Rush
1 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at; fewer than 5, not shown as a rate.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026at Houston Texans
6 · Closed at 7.5, Under
Sep 27, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
7 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Washington Commanders
11 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at New York Giants
10 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025at Washington Commanders
12 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
8 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Minnesota Vikings
2 · No closing line stored
Dec 4, 2025at Detroit Lions
12 · No closing line stored
Nov 27, 2025vs Kansas City Chiefs
0 · No closing line stored
Rush + Rec Yards
0 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026at Houston Texans
7 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
19 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Washington Commanders
26 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at New York Giants
14 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026at New York Giants
-1 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025at Washington Commanders
24 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
14 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Minnesota Vikings
2 · No closing line stored
Dec 4, 2025at Detroit Lions
14 · No closing line stored
Touchdowns
0 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026at Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025at Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 4, 2025at Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Kicking Points
0 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026at Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025at Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 4, 2025at Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Field Goals
0 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026at Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025at Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 4, 2025at Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Extra Points Made
0 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026at Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025at Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 4, 2025at Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sacks
0 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026at Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025at Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 4, 2025at Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Solo Tackles
0 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026at Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025at Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 4, 2025at Detroit Lions
1 · No closing line stored
Tackles + Assists
0 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026at Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025at Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 4, 2025at Detroit Lions
1 · No closing line stored
Defensive INTs
0 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026at Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026at New York Giants
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 25, 2025at Washington Commanders
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Los Angeles Chargers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 4, 2025at Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
How These Hit Rates Are Counted
The line. Every count is against the line most books hang on this prop today, the line shown at the top of each section. A game exactly on a whole-number line is a push and shown as one.
The game log. Each past game shows the stat and, where we stored the prop's closing line for that game, the line it closed at and whether the stat went over, under or pushed against it. A game with no stored closing line shows the stat alone.
The games. From the box scores ESPN publishes, stored once per game, the same numbers the site's prop grading reads. Last season is kept for the whole season. A split with fewer than 5 games is hidden, never shown as a streak.
Opponents. Top 10 and Bottom 10 defenses are ranked from our own logs: the total of this stat every opposing player recorded against a team, per game, over the last 150 days.
Rest, travel and conditions. From each game's own context: days since the team's previous game, and for outdoor football the weather at the nearest airport weather station closest to kickoff (from the National Weather Service, or for games more than a week old the Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive of the same stations). Indoor games are never given weather.
Past results, not predictions. The betting line already reflects most of what is on this page.
