Past results, not predictions. The betting line already reflects most of what is on this page.
Rushing Yards: 69.5
Best Over -108 at Novig · Best Under -115 at Novig · vs Philadelphia Eagles
1 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
2 of 5
Over 69.5 · avg 70.4
Last 10
3 of 10
Over 69.5 · avg 51.3
All Games Stored
4 of 20
Over 69.5 · avg 43.1
Home
3 of 9
Over 69.5 · avg 51.1
Away
1 of 11
Over 69.5 · avg 36.6
3+ Days Rest
4 of 18
Over 69.5 · avg 42.1
vs Top 10 Defenses
1 of 10
Over 69.5 · avg 36.7
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
1 of 7
Over 69.5 · avg 36.9
Day Games
3 of 18
Over 69.5 · avg 40.3
Outdoors
4 of 16
Over 69.5 · avg 45.1
Game Log
Receiving Yards: 39.5
Best Over +456 at Novig · vs Philadelphia Eagles
1 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
0 of 5
Over 39.5 · avg 19.4
Last 10
1 of 10
Over 39.5 · avg 16.7
All Games Stored
1 of 20
Over 39.5 · avg 16
Home
1 of 9
Over 39.5 · avg 12.9
Away
0 of 11
Over 39.5 · avg 18.5
3+ Days Rest
1 of 18
Over 39.5 · avg 13.9
vs Top 10 Defenses
1 of 7
Over 39.5 · avg 18.7
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
0 of 7
Over 39.5 · avg 14.1
Day Games
1 of 18
Over 39.5 · avg 15.9
Outdoors
1 of 16
Over 39.5 · avg 15.9
Game Log
Receptions: 2.5
Best Over -133 at Novig · Best Under -112 at Polymarket US · vs Philadelphia Eagles
1 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
2 of 5
Over 2.5 · avg 2.4
Last 10
3 of 10
Over 2.5 · avg 2.1
All Games Stored
7 of 20
Over 2.5 · avg 2.1
Home
2 of 9
Over 2.5 · avg 1.7
Away
5 of 11
Over 2.5 · avg 2.5
3+ Days Rest
5 of 18
Over 2.5 · avg 2
vs Top 10 Defenses
3 of 6
Over 2.5 · avg 2.8
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
2 of 7
Over 2.5 · avg 1.9
Day Games
6 of 18
Over 2.5 · avg 2.1
Outdoors
6 of 16
Over 2.5 · avg 2.1
Game Log
Passing Yards
0 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Passing TDs
0 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Pass Attempts
0 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Pass Completions
0 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Interceptions Thrown
0 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Pass + Rush Yards
0 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
122 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
82 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
53 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
49 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
46 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
10 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
12 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
27 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
29 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
83 · No closing line stored
Pass + Rush + Rec Yards
0 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
129 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
110 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
64 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
87 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
59 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
17 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
18 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
34 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
38 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
124 · No closing line stored
Rush Attempts
1 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at; fewer than 5, not shown as a rate.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
20 · Closed at 16.5, Over
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
19 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
12 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
10 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
13 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
5 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
4 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
6 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
8 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
17 · No closing line stored
Longest Rush
1 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at; fewer than 5, not shown as a rate.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
32 · Closed at 14.5, Over
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
16 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
12 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
11 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
8 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
5 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
7 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
10 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
10 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
10 · No closing line stored
Longest Reception
0 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
7 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
30 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
8 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
29 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
7 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
5 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
8 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
9 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
35 · No closing line stored
Rush + Rec Yards
0 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
129 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
110 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
64 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
87 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
59 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
17 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
18 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
34 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
38 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
124 · No closing line stored
Touchdowns
0 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
2 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
1 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
2 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
2 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
1 · No closing line stored
Kicking Points
0 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Field Goals
0 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Extra Points Made
0 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Sacks
0 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Solo Tackles
0 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Tackles + Assists
0 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Defensive INTs
0 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
How These Hit Rates Are Counted
The line. Every count is against the line most books hang on this prop today, the line shown at the top of each section. A game exactly on a whole-number line is a push and shown as one.
The game log. Each past game shows the stat and, where we stored the prop's closing line for that game, the line it closed at and whether the stat went over, under or pushed against it. A game with no stored closing line shows the stat alone.
The games. From the box scores ESPN publishes, stored once per game, the same numbers the site's prop grading reads. Last season is kept for the whole season. A split with fewer than 5 games is hidden, never shown as a streak.
Opponents. Top 10 and Bottom 10 defenses are ranked from our own logs: the total of this stat every opposing player recorded against a team, per game, over the last 150 days.
Rest, travel and conditions. From each game's own context: days since the team's previous game, and for outdoor football the weather at the nearest airport weather station closest to kickoff (from the National Weather Service, or for games more than a week old the Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive of the same stations). Indoor games are never given weather.
Past results, not predictions. The betting line already reflects most of what is on this page.
