Past results, not predictions. The betting line already reflects most of what is on this page.
Passing Yards: 230.5
Best Over -113 at Novig · Best Under -113 at Novig · vs Philadelphia Eagles
1 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
5 of 5
Over 230.5 · avg 306.4
Last 10
6 of 10
Over 230.5 · avg 241.2
All Games Stored
8 of 21
Over 230.5 · avg 216.3
Home
3 of 10
Over 230.5 · avg 204.7
Away
5 of 11
Over 230.5 · avg 226.9
3+ Days Rest
7 of 19
Over 230.5 · avg 212
vs Top 10 Defenses
1 of 7
Over 230.5 · avg 154.7
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
4 of 6
Over 230.5 · avg 277.8
Day Games
7 of 19
Over 230.5 · avg 212.9
Outdoors
5 of 17
Over 230.5 · avg 195.1
Game Log
Passing TDs: 1.5
Best Over +117 at Novig · vs Philadelphia Eagles
1 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 2
Last 10
6 of 10
Over 1.5 · avg 1.8
All Games Stored
10 of 21
Over 1.5 · avg 1.6
Home
6 of 10
Over 1.5 · avg 1.6
Away
4 of 11
Over 1.5 · avg 1.5
3+ Days Rest
9 of 19
Over 1.5 · avg 1.5
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
4 of 6
Over 1.5 · avg 2
Day Games
9 of 19
Over 1.5 · avg 1.6
Outdoors
7 of 17
Over 1.5 · avg 1.4
Game Log
Rushing Yards
1 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at; fewer than 5, not shown as a rate.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
3 · Closed at 12.5, Under
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
6 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
10 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
24 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-1 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
27 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
49 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
23 · No closing line stored
Receiving Yards
0 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Receptions
0 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Pass Attempts
1 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at; fewer than 5, not shown as a rate.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
41 · Closed at 35.5, Over
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
48 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
36 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
37 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
40 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
35 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
24 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
32 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
24 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
20 · No closing line stored
Pass Completions
1 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at; fewer than 5, not shown as a rate.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
29 · Closed at 21.5, Over
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
26 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
23 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
23 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
21 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
24 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
14 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
21 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
15 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
15 · No closing line stored
Interceptions Thrown
1 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at; fewer than 5, not shown as a rate.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · Closed at 0.5, Under
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
1 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
1 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
1 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
1 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Longest Completion
1 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at; fewer than 5, not shown as a rate.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
32 · Closed at 39.5, Under
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
31 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
55 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
51 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
52 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
40 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
8 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
34 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
34 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
43 · No closing line stored
Pass + Rush Yards
1 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at; fewer than 5, not shown as a rate.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
332 · Closed at 261.5, Over
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
291 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
293 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
371 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
288 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
265 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
81 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
211 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
212 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
229 · No closing line stored
Pass + Rush + Rec Yards
0 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
332 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
291 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
293 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
371 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
288 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
265 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
81 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
211 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
212 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
229 · No closing line stored
Rush Attempts
1 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at; fewer than 5, not shown as a rate.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
3 · Closed at 2.5, Over
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
1 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
2 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
3 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
9 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
4 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
7 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
5 · No closing line stored
Longest Rush
1 of 20 games graded against the line that game closed at; fewer than 5, not shown as a rate.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
7 · Closed at 9.5, Under
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
6 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
7 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
16 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
11 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
15 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
24 · No closing line stored
Nov 24, 2025at San Francisco 49ers
7 · No closing line stored
Rush + Rec Yards
0 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
3 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
6 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
10 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
24 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-1 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
27 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
49 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
23 · No closing line stored
Touchdowns
0 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
1 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
1 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
1 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Kicking Points
0 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Field Goals
0 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Extra Points Made
0 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Sacks
0 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Solo Tackles
0 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
1 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Tackles + Assists
0 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
1 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Defensive INTs
0 of 21 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 4, 2026vs Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026at Atlanta Falcons
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026vs Chicago Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 10, 2026vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 3, 2026at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025vs Seattle Seahawks
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 14, 2025at New Orleans Saints
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 30, 2025vs Los Angeles Rams
0 · No closing line stored
How These Hit Rates Are Counted
The line. Every count is against the line most books hang on this prop today, the line shown at the top of each section. A game exactly on a whole-number line is a push and shown as one.
The game log. Each past game shows the stat and, where we stored the prop's closing line for that game, the line it closed at and whether the stat went over, under or pushed against it. A game with no stored closing line shows the stat alone.
The games. From the box scores ESPN publishes, stored once per game, the same numbers the site's prop grading reads. Last season is kept for the whole season. A split with fewer than 5 games is hidden, never shown as a streak.
Opponents. Top 10 and Bottom 10 defenses are ranked from our own logs: the total of this stat every opposing player recorded against a team, per game, over the last 150 days.
Rest, travel and conditions. From each game's own context: days since the team's previous game, and for outdoor football the weather at the nearest airport weather station closest to kickoff (from the National Weather Service, or for games more than a week old the Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive of the same stations). Indoor games are never given weather.
Past results, not predictions. The betting line already reflects most of what is on this page.
