Past results, not predictions. The betting line already reflects most of what is on this page.
Rushing Yards: 10.5
Best Over -113 at BetParx · Best Under -115 at BetParx · vs Pittsburgh Steelers
2 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
2 of 5
Over 10.5 · avg 8.8
Last 10
6 of 10
Over 10.5 · avg 23
This Season
2 of 5
Over 10.5 · avg 8.8
All Games Stored
17 of 23
Over 10.5 · avg 26.1
Home
8 of 13
Over 10.5 · avg 25.8
Away
9 of 10
Over 10.5 · avg 26.5
3+ Days Rest
15 of 21
Over 10.5 · avg 27
vs Top 10 Defenses
5 of 6
Over 10.5 · avg 40.5
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
6 of 8
Over 10.5 · avg 15.6
Night Games
5 of 7
Over 10.5 · avg 24.7
Day Games
12 of 16
Over 10.5 · avg 26.8
Outdoors
15 of 20
Over 10.5 · avg 26.6
Line history: closed higher than it opened in 1 of 5 past games (0 lower, 4 unchanged).
Game Log
Receiving Yards: 12.5
Best Over -117 at BetParx · Best Under -112 at BetParx · vs Pittsburgh Steelers
2 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
2 of 5
Over 12.5 · avg 10.8
Last 10
6 of 10
Over 12.5 · avg 28
This Season
2 of 5
Over 12.5 · avg 10.8
All Games Stored
14 of 23
Over 12.5 · avg 24.6
Home
11 of 13
Over 12.5 · avg 29.8
Away
3 of 10
Over 12.5 · avg 17.9
3+ Days Rest
14 of 21
Over 12.5 · avg 26.6
vs Top 10 Defenses
5 of 9
Over 12.5 · avg 17.2
Night Games
3 of 7
Over 12.5 · avg 22.1
Day Games
11 of 16
Over 12.5 · avg 25.7
Outdoors
13 of 20
Over 12.5 · avg 23.7
Line history: closed higher than it opened in 2 of 5 past games (1 lower, 2 unchanged).
Game Log
Receptions: 2.5
Best Over +123 at Kalshi · Best Under -124 at BetParx · vs Pittsburgh Steelers
2 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
2 of 5
Over 2.5 · avg 2.2
Last 10
7 of 10
Over 2.5 · avg 3.8
This Season
2 of 5
Over 2.5 · avg 2.2
All Games Stored
15 of 23
Over 2.5 · avg 3.8
Home
9 of 13
Over 2.5 · avg 4.3
Away
6 of 10
Over 2.5 · avg 3.2
3+ Days Rest
14 of 21
Over 2.5 · avg 4
vs Top 10 Defenses
5 of 7
Over 2.5 · avg 3.6
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
5 of 6
Over 2.5 · avg 5.3
Night Games
4 of 7
Over 2.5 · avg 4
Day Games
11 of 16
Over 2.5 · avg 3.8
Outdoors
13 of 20
Over 2.5 · avg 3.9
Line history: closed higher than it opened in 0 of 5 past games (0 lower, 5 unchanged).
Game Log
Longest Rush: 6.5
Best Over -108 at BetParx · Best Under -121 at BetParx · vs Pittsburgh Steelers
2 of 22 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
2 of 5
Over 6.5 · avg 6
Last 10
6 of 10
Over 6.5 · avg 12.1
This Season
2 of 5
Over 6.5 · avg 6
All Games Stored
15 of 22
Over 6.5 · avg 13.3
Home
8 of 13
Over 6.5 · avg 11.8
Away
7 of 9
Over 6.5 · avg 15.3
3+ Days Rest
14 of 20
Over 6.5 · avg 13.9
vs Top 10 Defenses
4 of 7
Over 6.5 · avg 19.7
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
6 of 9
Over 6.5 · avg 8.8
Night Games
5 of 6
Over 6.5 · avg 15
Day Games
10 of 16
Over 6.5 · avg 12.6
Outdoors
13 of 20
Over 6.5 · avg 13.3
Game Log
Longest Reception: 8.5
Best Over -107 at BetParx · Best Under -122 at BetParx · vs Pittsburgh Steelers
2 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 8.5 · avg 9.6
Last 10
8 of 10
Over 8.5 · avg 14
This Season
3 of 5
Over 8.5 · avg 9.6
All Games Stored
14 of 23
Over 8.5 · avg 11.6
Home
8 of 13
Over 8.5 · avg 11.6
Away
6 of 10
Over 8.5 · avg 11.6
3+ Days Rest
14 of 21
Over 8.5 · avg 12.3
vs Top 10 Defenses
5 of 10
Over 8.5 · avg 8.5
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
7 of 11
Over 8.5 · avg 14.7
Night Games
4 of 7
Over 8.5 · avg 8.7
Day Games
10 of 16
Over 8.5 · avg 12.9
Outdoors
12 of 20
Over 8.5 · avg 10.2
Game Log
Rush + Rec Yards: 26.5
Best Over -110 at BetParx · Best Under -118 at BetParx · vs Pittsburgh Steelers
2 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
2 of 5
Over 26.5 · avg 19.6
Last 10
7 of 10
Over 26.5 · avg 51
This Season
2 of 5
Over 26.5 · avg 19.6
All Games Stored
16 of 23
Over 26.5 · avg 50.7
Home
11 of 13
Over 26.5 · avg 55.6
Away
5 of 10
Over 26.5 · avg 44.4
3+ Days Rest
16 of 21
Over 26.5 · avg 53.6
vs Top 10 Defenses
5 of 9
Over 26.5 · avg 46.3
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
5 of 7
Over 26.5 · avg 53.3
Night Games
5 of 7
Over 26.5 · avg 46.9
Day Games
11 of 16
Over 26.5 · avg 52.4
Outdoors
14 of 20
Over 26.5 · avg 50.4
Line history: closed higher than it opened in 2 of 5 past games (1 lower, 2 unchanged).
Game Log
Touchdowns: 2.5
Best Over +14000 at BetParx · vs Pittsburgh Steelers
0 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
0 of 5
Over 2.5 · avg 0.2
Last 10
0 of 10
Over 2.5 · avg 0.3
This Season
0 of 5
Over 2.5 · avg 0.2
All Games Stored
0 of 23
Over 2.5 · avg 0.4
Home
0 of 13
Over 2.5 · avg 0.5
Away
0 of 10
Over 2.5 · avg 0.3
3+ Days Rest
0 of 21
Over 2.5 · avg 0.4
vs Top 10 Defenses
0 of 7
Over 2.5 · avg 0.6
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
0 of 6
Over 2.5 · avg 0.2
Night Games
0 of 7
Over 2.5 · avg 0.1
Day Games
0 of 16
Over 2.5 · avg 0.5
Outdoors
0 of 20
Over 2.5 · avg 0.4
Game Log
Passing Yards
0 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026vs Green Bay Packers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at Cincinnati Bengals
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 12, 2026vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 15, 2025vs Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Passing TDs
0 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026vs Green Bay Packers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at Cincinnati Bengals
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 12, 2026vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 15, 2025vs Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Pass Attempts
0 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026vs Green Bay Packers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at Cincinnati Bengals
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 12, 2026vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 15, 2025vs Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Pass Completions
0 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026vs Green Bay Packers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at Cincinnati Bengals
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 12, 2026vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 15, 2025vs Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Interceptions Thrown
0 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026vs Green Bay Packers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at Cincinnati Bengals
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 12, 2026vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 15, 2025vs Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Pass + Rush Yards
0 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026at Dallas Cowboys
18 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026vs Green Bay Packers
5 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Minnesota Vikings
-4 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Cleveland Browns
10 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at Cincinnati Bengals
15 · No closing line stored
Jan 12, 2026vs Houston Texans
20 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
10 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025at Cleveland Browns
26 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Detroit Lions
50 · No closing line stored
Dec 15, 2025vs Miami Dolphins
80 · No closing line stored
Pass + Rush + Rec Yards
0 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026at Dallas Cowboys
28 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026vs Green Bay Packers
27 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Minnesota Vikings
10 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Cleveland Browns
15 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at Cincinnati Bengals
18 · No closing line stored
Jan 12, 2026vs Houston Texans
46 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
74 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025at Cleveland Browns
38 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Detroit Lions
128 · No closing line stored
Dec 15, 2025vs Miami Dolphins
126 · No closing line stored
Rush Attempts
0 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026at Dallas Cowboys
4 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026vs Green Bay Packers
3 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Minnesota Vikings
3 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Cleveland Browns
2 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at Cincinnati Bengals
5 · No closing line stored
Jan 12, 2026vs Houston Texans
6 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
5 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025at Cleveland Browns
7 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Detroit Lions
9 · No closing line stored
Dec 15, 2025vs Miami Dolphins
13 · No closing line stored
Kicking Points
0 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026vs Green Bay Packers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at Cincinnati Bengals
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 12, 2026vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 15, 2025vs Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Field Goals
0 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026vs Green Bay Packers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at Cincinnati Bengals
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 12, 2026vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 15, 2025vs Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Extra Points Made
0 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026vs Green Bay Packers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at Cincinnati Bengals
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 12, 2026vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 15, 2025vs Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Sacks
0 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026vs Green Bay Packers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at Cincinnati Bengals
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 12, 2026vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 15, 2025vs Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Solo Tackles
0 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026vs Green Bay Packers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Minnesota Vikings
1 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at Cincinnati Bengals
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 12, 2026vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 15, 2025vs Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Tackles + Assists
0 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026vs Green Bay Packers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Minnesota Vikings
1 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at Cincinnati Bengals
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 12, 2026vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 15, 2025vs Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
Defensive INTs
0 of 23 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 8, 2026at Dallas Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 4, 2026vs Green Bay Packers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 27, 2026vs Minnesota Vikings
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2026vs Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 13, 2026at Cincinnati Bengals
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 12, 2026vs Houston Texans
0 · No closing line stored
Jan 4, 2026vs Baltimore Ravens
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 28, 2025at Cleveland Browns
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 21, 2025at Detroit Lions
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 15, 2025vs Miami Dolphins
0 · No closing line stored
How These Hit Rates Are Counted
The line. Every count is against the line most books hang on this prop today, the line shown at the top of each section. A game exactly on a whole-number line is a push and shown as one.
The game log. Each past game shows the stat and, where we stored the prop's closing line for that game, the line it closed at and whether the stat went over, under or pushed against it. A game with no stored closing line shows the stat alone.
The games. From the box scores ESPN publishes, stored once per game, the same numbers the site's prop grading reads. Last season is kept for the whole season. A split with fewer than 5 games is hidden, never shown as a streak.
Opponents. Top 10 and Bottom 10 defenses are ranked from our own logs: the total of this stat every opposing player recorded against a team, per game, over the last 150 days.
Rest, travel and conditions. From each game's own context: days since the team's previous game, and for outdoor football the weather at the nearest airport weather station closest to kickoff (from the National Weather Service, or for games more than a week old the Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive of the same stations). Indoor games are never given weather.
Past results, not predictions. The betting line already reflects most of what is on this page.