DFS Pick'em Edges

How to read it: "fair 57.4%" means the de-vigged market median gives that side a 57.4% chance at the app's exact line. Pick'em breakevens run roughly 54.6% (6-pick power) to 58% (2-pick), so anything above your format's breakeven is a market-approved lean. Lines tagged Alt payout carry a non-standard multiplier on their app, so weigh the fair chance against that payout. PrizePicks Demons (harder line, bigger payout) and Goblins (easier line, smaller payout) are More-only picks, so we show the straight chance the More hits; weigh it against the boosted or reduced multiplier. When the app's line differs from the sportsbook consensus, we flag it — that difference is usually where the edge comes from. Requires 3+ sportsbooks quoting both sides of the line; anything above a 65% fair is treated as a data error and hidden. Same de-vig method as our +EV board and public record.