Past results, not predictions. The betting line already reflects most of what is on this page.
Points: 4.5
Best Over -250 at Fanatics · vs Miami Heat
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
2 of 5
Over 4.5 · avg 2.6
Last 10
4 of 10
Over 4.5 · avg 3.7
This Season
2 of 5
Over 4.5 · avg 2.6
All Games Stored
6 of 18
Over 4.5 · avg 3.2
Home
3 of 9
Over 4.5 · avg 3.1
Away
3 of 9
Over 4.5 · avg 3.3
Back-to-Back
1 of 5
Over 4.5 · avg 2.8
1 Day Rest
4 of 8
Over 4.5 · avg 4.8
vs Top 10 Defenses
3 of 5
Over 4.5 · avg 4.2
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
2 of 7
Over 4.5 · avg 3.6
Game Log
Rebounds: 2.5
Best Over -561 at DraftKings · vs Miami Heat
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 2.5 · avg 2.8
Last 10
5 of 10
Over 2.5 · avg 2.4
This Season
3 of 5
Over 2.5 · avg 2.8
All Games Stored
9 of 18
Over 2.5 · avg 2.5
Home
4 of 9
Over 2.5 · avg 2.4
Away
5 of 9
Over 2.5 · avg 2.6
Back-to-Back
3 of 5
Over 2.5 · avg 2.4
1 Day Rest
4 of 8
Over 2.5 · avg 3.1
vs Top 10 Defenses
3 of 5
Over 2.5 · avg 2.2
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
3 of 7
Over 2.5 · avg 2.6
Game Log
Assists: 1.5
Best Over -115 at Novig · vs Miami Heat
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
0 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 0.4
Last 10
1 of 10
Over 1.5 · avg 0.6
This Season
0 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 0.4
All Games Stored
1 of 18
Over 1.5 · avg 0.7
Home
1 of 9
Over 1.5 · avg 0.7
Away
0 of 9
Over 1.5 · avg 0.7
Back-to-Back
0 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 0.8
1 Day Rest
1 of 8
Over 1.5 · avg 0.9
vs Top 10 Defenses
1 of 6
Over 1.5 · avg 1
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
0 of 7
Over 1.5 · avg 0.6
Game Log
3-Pointers: 0.5
Best Over -236 at DraftKings · vs Miami Heat
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
2 of 5
Over 0.5 · avg 0.4
Last 10
3 of 10
Over 0.5 · avg 0.3
This Season
2 of 5
Over 0.5 · avg 0.4
All Games Stored
7 of 18
Over 0.5 · avg 0.4
Home
5 of 9
Over 0.5 · avg 0.6
Away
2 of 9
Over 0.5 · avg 0.3
Back-to-Back
0 of 5
Over 0.5 · avg 0
1 Day Rest
6 of 8
Over 0.5 · avg 0.9
vs Top 10 Defenses
4 of 10
Over 0.5 · avg 0.5
Game Log
Pts + Reb + Ast: 4.5
Best Over -4300 at DraftKings · vs Miami Heat
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 4.5 · avg 5.8
Last 10
6 of 10
Over 4.5 · avg 6.7
This Season
3 of 5
Over 4.5 · avg 5.8
All Games Stored
12 of 18
Over 4.5 · avg 6.4
Home
6 of 9
Over 4.5 · avg 6.2
Away
6 of 9
Over 4.5 · avg 6.6
Back-to-Back
3 of 5
Over 4.5 · avg 6
1 Day Rest
7 of 8
Over 4.5 · avg 8.8
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
6 of 8
Over 4.5 · avg 6.9
Game Log
Steals: 0.5
Best Over -143 at DraftKings · vs Miami Heat
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 0.5 · avg 0.6
Last 10
4 of 10
Over 0.5 · avg 0.4
This Season
3 of 5
Over 0.5 · avg 0.6
All Games Stored
6 of 18
Over 0.5 · avg 0.5
Home
2 of 9
Over 0.5 · avg 0.4
Away
4 of 9
Over 0.5 · avg 0.6
Back-to-Back
3 of 5
Over 0.5 · avg 0.8
1 Day Rest
2 of 8
Over 0.5 · avg 0.2
vs Top 10 Defenses
2 of 9
Over 0.5 · avg 0.2
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
3 of 5
Over 0.5 · avg 1.2
Game Log
Blocks: 0.5
Best Over +182 at DraftKings · vs Miami Heat
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
1 of 5
Over 0.5 · avg 0.2
Last 10
2 of 10
Over 0.5 · avg 0.2
This Season
1 of 5
Over 0.5 · avg 0.2
All Games Stored
3 of 18
Over 0.5 · avg 0.2
Home
2 of 9
Over 0.5 · avg 0.2
Away
1 of 9
Over 0.5 · avg 0.1
Back-to-Back
1 of 5
Over 0.5 · avg 0.2
1 Day Rest
1 of 8
Over 0.5 · avg 0.1
vs Top 10 Defenses
1 of 6
Over 0.5 · avg 0.2
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
2 of 8
Over 0.5 · avg 0.2
Game Log
Pts + Reb: 4.5
Best Over -1580 at DraftKings · vs Miami Heat
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 4.5 · avg 5.4
Last 10
6 of 10
Over 4.5 · avg 6.1
This Season
3 of 5
Over 4.5 · avg 5.4
All Games Stored
12 of 18
Over 4.5 · avg 5.7
Home
6 of 9
Over 4.5 · avg 5.6
Away
6 of 9
Over 4.5 · avg 5.9
Back-to-Back
3 of 5
Over 4.5 · avg 5.2
1 Day Rest
7 of 8
Over 4.5 · avg 7.9
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
6 of 8
Over 4.5 · avg 5.9
Game Log
Reb + Ast: 4.5
Best Over -340 at DraftKings · vs Miami Heat
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
2 of 5
Over 4.5 · avg 3.2
Last 10
3 of 10
Over 4.5 · avg 3
This Season
2 of 5
Over 4.5 · avg 3.2
All Games Stored
6 of 18
Over 4.5 · avg 3.2
Home
3 of 9
Over 4.5 · avg 3.1
Away
3 of 9
Over 4.5 · avg 3.2
Back-to-Back
1 of 5
Over 4.5 · avg 3.2
1 Day Rest
4 of 8
Over 4.5 · avg 4
vs Bottom 10 Defenses
2 of 10
Over 4.5 · avg 3.1
Game Log
Turnovers
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 28, 2026vs PHI
2 · No closing line stored
Oct 26, 2026at MIL
1 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2026at BKN
1 · No closing line stored
Oct 23, 2026vs DAL
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 21, 2026at NO
0 · No closing line stored
Apr 23, 2026at TOR
0 · No closing line stored
Apr 18, 2026vs TOR
1 · No closing line stored
Apr 12, 2026vs WSH
0 · No closing line stored
Apr 10, 2026at ATL
3 · No closing line stored
Apr 6, 2026at MEM
1 · No closing line stored
Blocks + Steals
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 28, 2026vs PHI
1 · No closing line stored
Oct 26, 2026at MIL
2 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2026at BKN
1 · No closing line stored
Oct 23, 2026vs DAL
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 21, 2026at NO
0 · No closing line stored
Apr 23, 2026at TOR
0 · No closing line stored
Apr 18, 2026vs TOR
0 · No closing line stored
Apr 12, 2026vs WSH
1 · No closing line stored
Apr 10, 2026at ATL
0 · No closing line stored
Apr 6, 2026at MEM
1 · No closing line stored
Field Goals
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 28, 2026vs PHI
2 · No closing line stored
Oct 26, 2026at MIL
1 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2026at BKN
2 · No closing line stored
Oct 23, 2026vs DAL
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 21, 2026at NO
0 · No closing line stored
Apr 23, 2026at TOR
0 · No closing line stored
Apr 18, 2026vs TOR
0 · No closing line stored
Apr 12, 2026vs WSH
4 · No closing line stored
Apr 10, 2026at ATL
2 · No closing line stored
Apr 6, 2026at MEM
5 · No closing line stored
Free Throws Made
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 28, 2026vs PHI
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 26, 2026at MIL
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2026at BKN
1 · No closing line stored
Oct 23, 2026vs DAL
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 21, 2026at NO
0 · No closing line stored
Apr 23, 2026at TOR
0 · No closing line stored
Apr 18, 2026vs TOR
0 · No closing line stored
Apr 12, 2026vs WSH
1 · No closing line stored
Apr 10, 2026at ATL
0 · No closing line stored
Apr 6, 2026at MEM
0 · No closing line stored
Free Throws Att
0 of 18 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 28, 2026vs PHI
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 26, 2026at MIL
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2026at BKN
1 · No closing line stored
Oct 23, 2026vs DAL
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 21, 2026at NO
0 · No closing line stored
Apr 23, 2026at TOR
0 · No closing line stored
Apr 18, 2026vs TOR
0 · No closing line stored
Apr 12, 2026vs WSH
2 · No closing line stored
Apr 10, 2026at ATL
0 · No closing line stored
Apr 6, 2026at MEM
2 · No closing line stored
How These Hit Rates Are Counted
The line. Every count is against the line most books hang on this prop today, the line shown at the top of each section. A game exactly on a whole-number line is a push and shown as one.
The game log. Each past game shows the stat and, where we stored the prop's closing line for that game, the line it closed at and whether the stat went over, under or pushed against it. A game with no stored closing line shows the stat alone.
The games. From the box scores ESPN publishes, stored once per game, the same numbers the site's prop grading reads. Last season is kept for about the final 30 games and the playoffs. A split with fewer than 5 games is hidden, never shown as a streak.
Opponents. Top 10 and Bottom 10 defenses are ranked from our own logs: the total of this stat every opposing player recorded against a team, per game, over the last 150 days.
Rest, travel and conditions. From each game's own context: days since the team's previous game, and for outdoor football the weather at the nearest airport weather station closest to kickoff (from the National Weather Service, or for games more than a week old the Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive of the same stations). Indoor games are never given weather.
Past results, not predictions. The betting line already reflects most of what is on this page.
