Past results, not predictions. The betting line already reflects most of what is on this page.
Passing Yards: 249.5
Best Over +105 at Hard Rock Bet · Best Under -115 at theScore Bet · vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
1 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 249.5 · avg 253.2
Last 10
6 of 10
Over 249.5 · avg 259.7
This Season
3 of 6
Over 249.5 · avg 249.3
All Games Stored
7 of 13
Over 249.5 · avg 240.3
Home
6 of 9
Over 249.5 · avg 265.3
3+ Days Rest
6 of 11
Over 249.5 · avg 239.7
Night Games
3 of 8
Over 249.5 · avg 219
Day Games
4 of 5
Over 249.5 · avg 274.4
Outdoors
7 of 13
Over 249.5 · avg 240.3
Warm (over 70°F)
2 of 5
Over 249.5 · avg 244.2
Line history: closed higher than it opened in 2 of 6 past games (2 lower, 2 unchanged).
Game Log
Passing TDs: 1.5
Best Over -150 at BetMGM · Best Under +130 at theScore Bet · vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
1 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 1.8
Last 10
4 of 10
Over 1.5 · avg 1.5
This Season
3 of 6
Over 1.5 · avg 1.7
All Games Stored
6 of 13
Over 1.5 · avg 1.5
Home
5 of 9
Over 1.5 · avg 1.7
3+ Days Rest
5 of 11
Over 1.5 · avg 1.5
Night Games
3 of 8
Over 1.5 · avg 1.4
Day Games
3 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 1.8
Outdoors
6 of 13
Over 1.5 · avg 1.5
Warm (over 70°F)
2 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 1.6
Line history: closed higher than it opened in 1 of 6 past games (0 lower, 5 unchanged).
Game Log
Rushing Yards: 33.5
Best Over -114 at FanDuel · Best Under -114 at FanDuel · vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
1 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
2 of 5
Over 33.5 · avg 29.2
Last 10
5 of 10
Over 33.5 · avg 40.8
This Season
3 of 6
Over 33.5 · avg 43.2
All Games Stored
7 of 13
Over 33.5 · avg 43.5
Home
4 of 9
Over 33.5 · avg 41.8
3+ Days Rest
5 of 11
Over 33.5 · avg 34.5
Night Games
5 of 8
Over 33.5 · avg 53.5
Day Games
2 of 5
Over 33.5 · avg 27.4
Outdoors
7 of 13
Over 33.5 · avg 43.5
Warm (over 70°F)
2 of 5
Over 33.5 · avg 44
Line history: closed higher than it opened in 0 of 5 past games (1 lower, 4 unchanged).
Game Log
Longest Rush: 15.5
Best Over -110 at theScore Bet · Best Under -120 at theScore Bet · vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
0 of 12 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 10
5 of 9
Over 15.5 · avg 16.9
This Season
2 of 5
Over 15.5 · avg 14.2
All Games Stored
7 of 12
Over 15.5 · avg 19.5
Home
6 of 8
Over 15.5 · avg 20.9
3+ Days Rest
5 of 10
Over 15.5 · avg 16.4
Night Games
5 of 8
Over 15.5 · avg 17
Outdoors
7 of 12
Over 15.5 · avg 19.5
Game Log
Touchdowns: 1.5
Best Over +320 at BetMGM · vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
0 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
1 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 1
Last 10
2 of 10
Over 1.5 · avg 0.9
This Season
2 of 6
Over 1.5 · avg 1.2
All Games Stored
3 of 13
Over 1.5 · avg 0.9
Home
3 of 9
Over 1.5 · avg 1
3+ Days Rest
1 of 11
Over 1.5 · avg 0.7
Night Games
1 of 8
Over 1.5 · avg 0.8
Day Games
2 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 1.2
Outdoors
3 of 13
Over 1.5 · avg 0.9
Warm (over 70°F)
2 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 1.2
Game Log
Receiving Yards
0 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs McNeese Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Texas A&M Aggies
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Ole Miss Rebels
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs Clemson Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025vs Houston Cougars
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 18, 2025vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2025vs TCU Horned Frogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2025at Baylor Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Receptions
0 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs McNeese Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Texas A&M Aggies
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Ole Miss Rebels
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs Clemson Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025vs Houston Cougars
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 18, 2025vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2025vs TCU Horned Frogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2025at Baylor Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Pass Attempts
0 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
34 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs McNeese Cowboys
23 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Texas A&M Aggies
23 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Ole Miss Rebels
27 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
38 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs Clemson Tigers
28 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025vs Houston Cougars
35 · No closing line stored
Oct 18, 2025vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
47 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2025vs TCU Horned Frogs
39 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2025at Baylor Bears
32 · No closing line stored
Pass Completions
0 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
25 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs McNeese Cowboys
18 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Texas A&M Aggies
17 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Ole Miss Rebels
16 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
25 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs Clemson Tigers
16 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025vs Houston Cougars
18 · No closing line stored
Oct 18, 2025vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
28 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2025vs TCU Horned Frogs
27 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2025at Baylor Bears
22 · No closing line stored
Interceptions Thrown
0 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
1 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs McNeese Cowboys
1 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Texas A&M Aggies
1 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Ole Miss Rebels
1 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
3 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs Clemson Tigers
1 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025vs Houston Cougars
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 18, 2025vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2025vs TCU Horned Frogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2025at Baylor Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Longest Completion
0 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
22 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs McNeese Cowboys
23 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Texas A&M Aggies
57 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Ole Miss Rebels
26 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
53 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs Clemson Tigers
32 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025vs Houston Cougars
36 · No closing line stored
Oct 18, 2025vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
49 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2025vs TCU Horned Frogs
57 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2025at Baylor Bears
61 · No closing line stored
Pass + Rush Yards
0 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
314 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs McNeese Cowboys
177 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Texas A&M Aggies
334 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Ole Miss Rebels
221 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
366 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs Clemson Tigers
343 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025vs Houston Cougars
292 · No closing line stored
Oct 18, 2025vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
322 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2025vs TCU Horned Frogs
353 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2025at Baylor Bears
283 · No closing line stored
Pass + Rush + Rec Yards
0 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
314 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs McNeese Cowboys
177 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Texas A&M Aggies
334 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Ole Miss Rebels
221 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
366 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs Clemson Tigers
343 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025vs Houston Cougars
292 · No closing line stored
Oct 18, 2025vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
322 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2025vs TCU Horned Frogs
353 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2025at Baylor Bears
283 · No closing line stored
Rush Attempts
0 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
15 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs McNeese Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Texas A&M Aggies
5 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Ole Miss Rebels
17 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
11 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs Clemson Tigers
12 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025vs Houston Cougars
6 · No closing line stored
Oct 18, 2025vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
12 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2025vs TCU Horned Frogs
13 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2025at Baylor Bears
15 · No closing line stored
Rush + Rec Yards
0 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
39 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs McNeese Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Texas A&M Aggies
22 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Ole Miss Rebels
63 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
22 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs Clemson Tigers
113 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025vs Houston Cougars
22 · No closing line stored
Oct 18, 2025vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
3 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2025vs TCU Horned Frogs
62 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2025at Baylor Bears
62 · No closing line stored
Kicking Points
0 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs McNeese Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Texas A&M Aggies
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Ole Miss Rebels
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs Clemson Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025vs Houston Cougars
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 18, 2025vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2025vs TCU Horned Frogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2025at Baylor Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Field Goals
0 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs McNeese Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Texas A&M Aggies
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Ole Miss Rebels
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs Clemson Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025vs Houston Cougars
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 18, 2025vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2025vs TCU Horned Frogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2025at Baylor Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Extra Points Made
0 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs McNeese Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Texas A&M Aggies
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Ole Miss Rebels
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs Clemson Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025vs Houston Cougars
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 18, 2025vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2025vs TCU Horned Frogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2025at Baylor Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Sacks
0 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs McNeese Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Texas A&M Aggies
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Ole Miss Rebels
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs Clemson Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025vs Houston Cougars
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 18, 2025vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2025vs TCU Horned Frogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2025at Baylor Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Solo Tackles
0 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs McNeese Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Texas A&M Aggies
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Ole Miss Rebels
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
1 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs Clemson Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025vs Houston Cougars
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 18, 2025vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2025vs TCU Horned Frogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2025at Baylor Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Tackles + Assists
0 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs McNeese Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Texas A&M Aggies
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Ole Miss Rebels
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
1 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs Clemson Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025vs Houston Cougars
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 18, 2025vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2025vs TCU Horned Frogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2025at Baylor Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Defensive INTs
0 of 13 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs McNeese Cowboys
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Texas A&M Aggies
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Ole Miss Rebels
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs Clemson Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025vs Houston Cougars
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 18, 2025vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2025vs TCU Horned Frogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 20, 2025at Baylor Bears
0 · No closing line stored
How These Hit Rates Are Counted
The line. Every count is against the line most books hang on this prop today, the line shown at the top of each section. A game exactly on a whole-number line is a push and shown as one.
The game log. Each past game shows the stat and, where we stored the prop's closing line for that game, the line it closed at and whether the stat went over, under or pushed against it. A game with no stored closing line shows the stat alone.
The games. From the box scores ESPN publishes, stored once per game, the same numbers the site's prop grading reads. Last season is kept for the whole season. A split with fewer than 5 games is hidden, never shown as a streak.
Opponents. Top 10 and Bottom 10 defenses are ranked from our own logs: the total of this stat every opposing player recorded against a team, per game, over the last 150 days.
Rest, travel and conditions. From each game's own context: days since the team's previous game, and for outdoor football the weather at the nearest airport weather station closest to kickoff (from the National Weather Service, or for games more than a week old the Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive of the same stations). Indoor games are never given weather.
Past results, not predictions. The betting line already reflects most of what is on this page.
