Past results, not predictions. The betting line already reflects most of what is on this page.
Passing Yards: 240.5
Best Over -114 at FanDuel · Best Under -114 at FanDuel · vs Tennessee Volunteers
2 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 240.5 · avg 268.6
Last 10
4 of 8
Over 240.5 · avg 217.8
This Season
4 of 6
Over 240.5 · avg 266.5
All Games Stored
4 of 8
Over 240.5 · avg 217.8
Home
3 of 6
Over 240.5 · avg 211.5
3+ Days Rest
3 of 7
Over 240.5 · avg 212.3
Day Games
4 of 7
Over 240.5 · avg 222.4
Outdoors
4 of 8
Over 240.5 · avg 217.8
Warm (over 70°F)
4 of 5
Over 240.5 · avg 282.8
Line history: closed higher than it opened in 2 of 5 past games (3 lower, 0 unchanged).
Game Log
Passing TDs: 1.5
Best Over -108 at FanDuel · Best Under -122 at FanDuel · vs Tennessee Volunteers
2 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 2.4
Last 10
4 of 8
Over 1.5 · avg 1.8
This Season
3 of 6
Over 1.5 · avg 2
All Games Stored
4 of 8
Over 1.5 · avg 1.8
Home
3 of 6
Over 1.5 · avg 1.7
3+ Days Rest
4 of 7
Over 1.5 · avg 2
Day Games
4 of 7
Over 1.5 · avg 1.9
Outdoors
4 of 8
Over 1.5 · avg 1.8
Warm (over 70°F)
3 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 2.2
Line history: closed higher than it opened in 0 of 6 past games (0 lower, 6 unchanged).
Game Log
Rushing Yards: 25.5
Best Over -112 at DraftKings · Best Under -114 at FanDuel · vs Tennessee Volunteers
2 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 25.5 · avg 27.8
Last 10
4 of 8
Over 25.5 · avg 30.2
This Season
4 of 6
Over 25.5 · avg 37.5
All Games Stored
4 of 8
Over 25.5 · avg 30.2
Home
4 of 6
Over 25.5 · avg 39.2
3+ Days Rest
3 of 7
Over 25.5 · avg 22.3
Day Games
3 of 7
Over 25.5 · avg 28.7
Outdoors
4 of 8
Over 25.5 · avg 30.2
Warm (over 70°F)
3 of 5
Over 25.5 · avg 36.8
Game Log
Longest Completion: 42.5
Best Over -110 at Hard Rock Bet · Best Under -120 at Hard Rock Bet · vs Tennessee Volunteers
0 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 42.5 · avg 46.2
Last 10
4 of 8
Over 42.5 · avg 42.4
This Season
4 of 6
Over 42.5 · avg 48.2
All Games Stored
4 of 8
Over 42.5 · avg 42.4
Home
3 of 6
Over 42.5 · avg 42.8
3+ Days Rest
3 of 7
Over 42.5 · avg 40.1
Day Games
4 of 7
Over 42.5 · avg 44.4
Outdoors
4 of 8
Over 42.5 · avg 42.4
Warm (over 70°F)
4 of 5
Over 42.5 · avg 52.2
Game Log
Longest Rush: 16.5
Best Over +100 at theScore Bet · Best Under -130 at theScore Bet · vs Tennessee Volunteers
0 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 16.5 · avg 25.6
Last 10
4 of 8
Over 16.5 · avg 20.1
This Season
4 of 6
Over 16.5 · avg 25.2
All Games Stored
4 of 8
Over 16.5 · avg 20.1
Home
3 of 6
Over 16.5 · avg 21.3
3+ Days Rest
3 of 7
Over 16.5 · avg 19.7
Day Games
3 of 7
Over 16.5 · avg 19.9
Outdoors
4 of 8
Over 16.5 · avg 20.1
Warm (over 70°F)
3 of 5
Over 16.5 · avg 25.8
Game Log
Touchdowns: 1.5
Best Over +550 at FanDuel · vs Tennessee Volunteers
0 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
0 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 0.6
Last 10
0 of 8
Over 1.5 · avg 0.5
This Season
0 of 6
Over 1.5 · avg 0.7
All Games Stored
0 of 8
Over 1.5 · avg 0.5
Home
0 of 6
Over 1.5 · avg 0.5
3+ Days Rest
0 of 7
Over 1.5 · avg 0.4
Day Games
0 of 7
Over 1.5 · avg 0.6
Outdoors
0 of 8
Over 1.5 · avg 0.5
Warm (over 70°F)
0 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 0.8
Game Log
Receiving Yards
0 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Georgia Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026at Mississippi State Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs South Carolina Gamecocks
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs Florida State Seminoles
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs East Carolina Pirates
-10 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Eastern Illinois Panthers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 6, 2025vs UL Monroe Warhawks
0 · No closing line stored
Receptions
0 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Georgia Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026at Mississippi State Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs South Carolina Gamecocks
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs Florida State Seminoles
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs East Carolina Pirates
1 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Eastern Illinois Panthers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 6, 2025vs UL Monroe Warhawks
0 · No closing line stored
Pass Attempts
0 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Georgia Bulldogs
30 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026at Mississippi State Bulldogs
22 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs South Carolina Gamecocks
27 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs Florida State Seminoles
30 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
23 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs East Carolina Pirates
30 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Eastern Illinois Panthers
9 · No closing line stored
Sep 6, 2025vs UL Monroe Warhawks
6 · No closing line stored
Pass Completions
0 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Georgia Bulldogs
16 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026at Mississippi State Bulldogs
16 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs South Carolina Gamecocks
21 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs Florida State Seminoles
23 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
16 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs East Carolina Pirates
18 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Eastern Illinois Panthers
7 · No closing line stored
Sep 6, 2025vs UL Monroe Warhawks
4 · No closing line stored
Interceptions Thrown
0 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Georgia Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026at Mississippi State Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs South Carolina Gamecocks
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs Florida State Seminoles
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
2 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs East Carolina Pirates
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Eastern Illinois Panthers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 6, 2025vs UL Monroe Warhawks
0 · No closing line stored
Pass + Rush Yards
0 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Georgia Bulldogs
226 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026at Mississippi State Bulldogs
301 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs South Carolina Gamecocks
400 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs Florida State Seminoles
376 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
179 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs East Carolina Pirates
342 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Eastern Illinois Panthers
94 · No closing line stored
Sep 6, 2025vs UL Monroe Warhawks
66 · No closing line stored
Pass + Rush + Rec Yards
0 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Georgia Bulldogs
226 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026at Mississippi State Bulldogs
301 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs South Carolina Gamecocks
400 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs Florida State Seminoles
376 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
179 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs East Carolina Pirates
332 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Eastern Illinois Panthers
94 · No closing line stored
Sep 6, 2025vs UL Monroe Warhawks
66 · No closing line stored
Rush Attempts
0 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Georgia Bulldogs
9 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026at Mississippi State Bulldogs
5 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs South Carolina Gamecocks
8 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs Florida State Seminoles
3 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
8 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs East Carolina Pirates
13 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Eastern Illinois Panthers
2 · No closing line stored
Sep 6, 2025vs UL Monroe Warhawks
1 · No closing line stored
Longest Reception
0 of 1 game graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Rush + Rec Yards
0 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Georgia Bulldogs
41 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026at Mississippi State Bulldogs
16 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs South Carolina Gamecocks
35 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs Florida State Seminoles
56 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
-9 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs East Carolina Pirates
76 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Eastern Illinois Panthers
16 · No closing line stored
Sep 6, 2025vs UL Monroe Warhawks
1 · No closing line stored
Kicking Points
0 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Georgia Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026at Mississippi State Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs South Carolina Gamecocks
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs Florida State Seminoles
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs East Carolina Pirates
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Eastern Illinois Panthers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 6, 2025vs UL Monroe Warhawks
0 · No closing line stored
Field Goals
0 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Georgia Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026at Mississippi State Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs South Carolina Gamecocks
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs Florida State Seminoles
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs East Carolina Pirates
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Eastern Illinois Panthers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 6, 2025vs UL Monroe Warhawks
0 · No closing line stored
Extra Points Made
0 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Georgia Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026at Mississippi State Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs South Carolina Gamecocks
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs Florida State Seminoles
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs East Carolina Pirates
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Eastern Illinois Panthers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 6, 2025vs UL Monroe Warhawks
0 · No closing line stored
Sacks
0 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Georgia Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026at Mississippi State Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs South Carolina Gamecocks
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs Florida State Seminoles
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs East Carolina Pirates
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Eastern Illinois Panthers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 6, 2025vs UL Monroe Warhawks
0 · No closing line stored
Solo Tackles
0 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Georgia Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026at Mississippi State Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs South Carolina Gamecocks
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs Florida State Seminoles
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs East Carolina Pirates
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Eastern Illinois Panthers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 6, 2025vs UL Monroe Warhawks
0 · No closing line stored
Tackles + Assists
0 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Georgia Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026at Mississippi State Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs South Carolina Gamecocks
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs Florida State Seminoles
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs East Carolina Pirates
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Eastern Illinois Panthers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 6, 2025vs UL Monroe Warhawks
0 · No closing line stored
Defensive INTs
0 of 8 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Georgia Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026at Mississippi State Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs South Carolina Gamecocks
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs Florida State Seminoles
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 5, 2026vs East Carolina Pirates
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Eastern Illinois Panthers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 6, 2025vs UL Monroe Warhawks
0 · No closing line stored
How These Hit Rates Are Counted
The line. Every count is against the line most books hang on this prop today, the line shown at the top of each section. A game exactly on a whole-number line is a push and shown as one.
The game log. Each past game shows the stat and, where we stored the prop's closing line for that game, the line it closed at and whether the stat went over, under or pushed against it. A game with no stored closing line shows the stat alone.
The games. From the box scores ESPN publishes, stored once per game, the same numbers the site's prop grading reads. Last season is kept for the whole season. A split with fewer than 5 games is hidden, never shown as a streak.
Opponents. Top 10 and Bottom 10 defenses are ranked from our own logs: the total of this stat every opposing player recorded against a team, per game, over the last 150 days.
Rest, travel and conditions. From each game's own context: days since the team's previous game, and for outdoor football the weather at the nearest airport weather station closest to kickoff (from the National Weather Service, or for games more than a week old the Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive of the same stations). Indoor games are never given weather.
Past results, not predictions. The betting line already reflects most of what is on this page.
