Past results, not predictions. The betting line already reflects most of what is on this page.
Passing Yards: 224.5
Best Over -112 at FanDuel · Best Under -115 at Hard Rock Bet · vs Kentucky Wildcats
0 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 224.5 · avg 207.6
Last 10
5 of 10
Over 224.5 · avg 213.3
This Season
3 of 5
Over 224.5 · avg 207.6
All Games Stored
9 of 17
Over 224.5 · avg 230.8
Home
7 of 10
Over 224.5 · avg 257.2
Away
2 of 7
Over 224.5 · avg 193
3+ Days Rest
7 of 15
Over 224.5 · avg 220.4
Day Games
7 of 14
Over 224.5 · avg 227.6
Outdoors
9 of 17
Over 224.5 · avg 230.8
Warm (over 70°F)
3 of 5
Over 224.5 · avg 207.6
Game Log
Passing TDs: 1.5
Best Over +140 at theScore Bet · Best Under -180 at theScore Bet · vs Kentucky Wildcats
1 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 1.6
Last 10
6 of 10
Over 1.5 · avg 1.4
This Season
3 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 1.6
All Games Stored
7 of 17
Over 1.5 · avg 1.3
Home
6 of 10
Over 1.5 · avg 1.7
Away
1 of 7
Over 1.5 · avg 0.7
3+ Days Rest
5 of 15
Over 1.5 · avg 1.1
Day Games
6 of 14
Over 1.5 · avg 1.4
Outdoors
7 of 17
Over 1.5 · avg 1.3
Warm (over 70°F)
3 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 1.6
Line history: closed higher than it opened in 0 of 5 past games (0 lower, 5 unchanged).
Game Log
Rushing Yards: 27.5
Best Over -114 at FanDuel · Best Under -114 at FanDuel · vs Kentucky Wildcats
1 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
1 of 5
Over 27.5 · avg 14
Last 10
3 of 10
Over 27.5 · avg 27.5
This Season
1 of 5
Over 27.5 · avg 14
All Games Stored
6 of 17
Over 27.5 · avg 29.5
Home
3 of 10
Over 27.5 · avg 26.4
Away
3 of 7
Over 27.5 · avg 33.9
3+ Days Rest
6 of 15
Over 27.5 · avg 31.3
Day Games
4 of 14
Over 27.5 · avg 23.7
Outdoors
6 of 17
Over 27.5 · avg 29.5
Warm (over 70°F)
1 of 5
Over 27.5 · avg 14
Line history: closed higher than it opened in 1 of 5 past games (2 lower, 2 unchanged).
Game Log
Pass Attempts: 29.5
Best Over -125 at Hard Rock Bet · Best Under -105 at Hard Rock Bet · vs Kentucky Wildcats
0 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
2 of 5
Over 29.5 · avg 27
Last 10
5 of 10
Over 29.5 · avg 29.6
This Season
2 of 5
Over 29.5 · avg 27
All Games Stored
11 of 17
Over 29.5 · avg 31.3
Home
7 of 10
Over 29.5 · avg 31.5
Away
4 of 7
Over 29.5 · avg 31
3+ Days Rest
10 of 15
Over 29.5 · avg 31.9
Day Games
9 of 14
Over 29.5 · avg 30.6
Outdoors
11 of 17
Over 29.5 · avg 31.3
Warm (over 70°F)
2 of 5
Over 29.5 · avg 27
Game Log
Pass Completions: 19.5
Best Over +105 at Hard Rock Bet · Best Under -135 at Hard Rock Bet · vs Kentucky Wildcats
0 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
1 of 5
Over 19.5 · avg 18
Last 10
3 of 10
Over 19.5 · avg 18.7
This Season
1 of 5
Over 19.5 · avg 18
All Games Stored
8 of 17
Over 19.5 · avg 19.8
Home
5 of 10
Over 19.5 · avg 20.3
Away
3 of 7
Over 19.5 · avg 19.1
3+ Days Rest
7 of 15
Over 19.5 · avg 19.7
Day Games
6 of 14
Over 19.5 · avg 19.4
Outdoors
8 of 17
Over 19.5 · avg 19.8
Warm (over 70°F)
1 of 5
Over 19.5 · avg 18
Game Log
Longest Completion: 37.5
Best Over -110 at Hard Rock Bet · Best Under -120 at Hard Rock Bet · vs Kentucky Wildcats
0 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 37.5 · avg 40.2
Last 10
6 of 10
Over 37.5 · avg 42
This Season
3 of 5
Over 37.5 · avg 40.2
All Games Stored
8 of 17
Over 37.5 · avg 40.3
Home
7 of 10
Over 37.5 · avg 49.5
Away
1 of 7
Over 37.5 · avg 27.1
3+ Days Rest
6 of 15
Over 37.5 · avg 39.3
Day Games
7 of 14
Over 37.5 · avg 42.6
Outdoors
8 of 17
Over 37.5 · avg 40.3
Warm (over 70°F)
3 of 5
Over 37.5 · avg 40.2
Game Log
Rush Attempts: 11.5
Best Over -127 at DraftKings · vs Kentucky Wildcats
0 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 11.5 · avg 10.6
Last 10
6 of 10
Over 11.5 · avg 12.4
This Season
3 of 5
Over 11.5 · avg 10.6
All Games Stored
9 of 17
Over 11.5 · avg 11.9
Home
5 of 10
Over 11.5 · avg 11.9
Away
4 of 7
Over 11.5 · avg 11.9
3+ Days Rest
9 of 15
Over 11.5 · avg 12.8
Day Games
6 of 14
Over 11.5 · avg 10.6
Outdoors
9 of 17
Over 11.5 · avg 11.9
Warm (over 70°F)
3 of 5
Over 11.5 · avg 10.6
Game Log
Longest Rush: 15.5
Best Over -125 at theScore Bet · Best Under -105 at theScore Bet · vs Kentucky Wildcats
0 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
1 of 5
Over 15.5 · avg 10.2
Last 10
3 of 10
Over 15.5 · avg 12.9
This Season
1 of 5
Over 15.5 · avg 10.2
All Games Stored
6 of 17
Over 15.5 · avg 14.6
Home
2 of 10
Over 15.5 · avg 10.7
Away
4 of 7
Over 15.5 · avg 20.1
3+ Days Rest
6 of 15
Over 15.5 · avg 15.7
Day Games
4 of 14
Over 15.5 · avg 14
Outdoors
6 of 17
Over 15.5 · avg 14.6
Warm (over 70°F)
1 of 5
Over 15.5 · avg 10.2
Game Log
Touchdowns: 1.5
Best Over +800 at BetMGM · vs Kentucky Wildcats
0 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
0 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 0
Last 10
0 of 10
Over 1.5 · avg 0.3
This Season
0 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 0
All Games Stored
1 of 17
Over 1.5 · avg 0.5
Home
1 of 10
Over 1.5 · avg 0.5
Away
0 of 7
Over 1.5 · avg 0.4
3+ Days Rest
1 of 15
Over 1.5 · avg 0.5
Day Games
0 of 14
Over 1.5 · avg 0.3
Outdoors
1 of 17
Over 1.5 · avg 0.5
Warm (over 70°F)
0 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 0
Game Log
Receiving Yards
0 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Texas Longhorns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026at Georgia Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs New Mexico Lobos
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Michigan Wolverines
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 4, 2026vs UTEP Miners
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 19, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs LSU Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Missouri Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 15, 2025at Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025at Tennessee Volunteers
0 · No closing line stored
Receptions
0 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Texas Longhorns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026at Georgia Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs New Mexico Lobos
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Michigan Wolverines
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 4, 2026vs UTEP Miners
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 19, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs LSU Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Missouri Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 15, 2025at Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025at Tennessee Volunteers
0 · No closing line stored
Interceptions Thrown
0 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Texas Longhorns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026at Georgia Bulldogs
1 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs New Mexico Lobos
2 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Michigan Wolverines
1 · No closing line stored
Sep 4, 2026vs UTEP Miners
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 19, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
1 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs LSU Tigers
3 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Missouri Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 15, 2025at Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025at Tennessee Volunteers
1 · No closing line stored
Pass + Rush Yards
0 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Texas Longhorns
149 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026at Georgia Bulldogs
238 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs New Mexico Lobos
255 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Michigan Wolverines
234 · No closing line stored
Sep 4, 2026vs UTEP Miners
232 · No closing line stored
Dec 19, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
322 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs LSU Tigers
345 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Missouri Tigers
233 · No closing line stored
Nov 15, 2025at Alabama Crimson Tide
161 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025at Tennessee Volunteers
239 · No closing line stored
Pass + Rush + Rec Yards
0 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Texas Longhorns
149 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026at Georgia Bulldogs
238 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs New Mexico Lobos
255 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Michigan Wolverines
234 · No closing line stored
Sep 4, 2026vs UTEP Miners
232 · No closing line stored
Dec 19, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
322 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs LSU Tigers
345 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Missouri Tigers
233 · No closing line stored
Nov 15, 2025at Alabama Crimson Tide
161 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025at Tennessee Volunteers
239 · No closing line stored
Rush + Rec Yards
0 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Texas Longhorns
-6 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026at Georgia Bulldogs
7 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs New Mexico Lobos
17 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Michigan Wolverines
45 · No closing line stored
Sep 4, 2026vs UTEP Miners
7 · No closing line stored
Dec 19, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
15 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs LSU Tigers
27 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Missouri Tigers
60 · No closing line stored
Nov 15, 2025at Alabama Crimson Tide
23 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025at Tennessee Volunteers
80 · No closing line stored
Kicking Points
0 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Texas Longhorns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026at Georgia Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs New Mexico Lobos
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Michigan Wolverines
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 4, 2026vs UTEP Miners
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 19, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs LSU Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Missouri Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 15, 2025at Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025at Tennessee Volunteers
0 · No closing line stored
Field Goals
0 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Texas Longhorns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026at Georgia Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs New Mexico Lobos
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Michigan Wolverines
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 4, 2026vs UTEP Miners
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 19, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs LSU Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Missouri Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 15, 2025at Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025at Tennessee Volunteers
0 · No closing line stored
Extra Points Made
0 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Texas Longhorns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026at Georgia Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs New Mexico Lobos
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Michigan Wolverines
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 4, 2026vs UTEP Miners
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 19, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs LSU Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Missouri Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 15, 2025at Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025at Tennessee Volunteers
0 · No closing line stored
Sacks
0 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Texas Longhorns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026at Georgia Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs New Mexico Lobos
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Michigan Wolverines
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 4, 2026vs UTEP Miners
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 19, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs LSU Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Missouri Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 15, 2025at Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025at Tennessee Volunteers
0 · No closing line stored
Solo Tackles
0 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Texas Longhorns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026at Georgia Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs New Mexico Lobos
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Michigan Wolverines
1 · No closing line stored
Sep 4, 2026vs UTEP Miners
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 19, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs LSU Tigers
2 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Missouri Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 15, 2025at Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025at Tennessee Volunteers
0 · No closing line stored
Tackles + Assists
0 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Texas Longhorns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026at Georgia Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs New Mexico Lobos
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Michigan Wolverines
1 · No closing line stored
Sep 4, 2026vs UTEP Miners
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 19, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs LSU Tigers
2 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Missouri Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 15, 2025at Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025at Tennessee Volunteers
0 · No closing line stored
Defensive INTs
0 of 17 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 10, 2026vs Texas Longhorns
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026at Georgia Bulldogs
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026vs New Mexico Lobos
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 12, 2026at Michigan Wolverines
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 4, 2026vs UTEP Miners
0 · No closing line stored
Dec 19, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs LSU Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 22, 2025vs Missouri Tigers
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 15, 2025at Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025at Tennessee Volunteers
0 · No closing line stored
How These Hit Rates Are Counted
The line. Every count is against the line most books hang on this prop today, the line shown at the top of each section. A game exactly on a whole-number line is a push and shown as one.
The game log. Each past game shows the stat and, where we stored the prop's closing line for that game, the line it closed at and whether the stat went over, under or pushed against it. A game with no stored closing line shows the stat alone.
The games. From the box scores ESPN publishes, stored once per game, the same numbers the site's prop grading reads. Last season is kept for the whole season. A split with fewer than 5 games is hidden, never shown as a streak.
Opponents. Top 10 and Bottom 10 defenses are ranked from our own logs: the total of this stat every opposing player recorded against a team, per game, over the last 150 days.
Rest, travel and conditions. From each game's own context: days since the team's previous game, and for outdoor football the weather at the nearest airport weather station closest to kickoff (from the National Weather Service, or for games more than a week old the Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive of the same stations). Indoor games are never given weather.
Past results, not predictions. The betting line already reflects most of what is on this page.
