Past results, not predictions. The betting line already reflects most of what is on this page.
Passing Yards: 189.5
Best Over +100 at DraftKings · Best Under -115 at theScore Bet · vs Miami Hurricanes
2 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 189.5 · avg 223.6
Last 10
6 of 10
Over 189.5 · avg 211.7
This Season
4 of 6
Over 189.5 · avg 220
All Games Stored
6 of 10
Over 189.5 · avg 211.7
Home
3 of 6
Over 189.5 · avg 183.5
3+ Days Rest
5 of 9
Over 189.5 · avg 212.8
Day Games
5 of 8
Over 189.5 · avg 216.6
Outdoors
6 of 10
Over 189.5 · avg 211.7
Warm (over 70°F)
4 of 6
Over 189.5 · avg 220
Line history: closed higher than it opened in 1 of 5 past games (0 lower, 4 unchanged).
Game Log
Passing TDs: 0.5
Best Over -167 at DraftKings · Best Under +142 at FanDuel · vs Miami Hurricanes
2 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
4 of 5
Over 0.5 · avg 1.4
Last 10
7 of 10
Over 0.5 · avg 1.1
This Season
5 of 6
Over 0.5 · avg 1.3
All Games Stored
7 of 10
Over 0.5 · avg 1.1
Home
4 of 6
Over 0.5 · avg 0.8
3+ Days Rest
6 of 9
Over 0.5 · avg 1.1
Day Games
5 of 8
Over 0.5 · avg 1.1
Outdoors
7 of 10
Over 0.5 · avg 1.1
Warm (over 70°F)
5 of 6
Over 0.5 · avg 1.3
Line history: closed higher than it opened in 0 of 5 past games (0 lower, 5 unchanged).
Game Log
Rushing Yards: 34.5
Best Over -115 at Hard Rock Bet · Best Under -115 at Hard Rock Bet · vs Miami Hurricanes
2 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 34.5 · avg 58.6
Last 10
7 of 10
Over 34.5 · avg 60.3
This Season
3 of 6
Over 34.5 · avg 53.8
All Games Stored
7 of 10
Over 34.5 · avg 60.3
Home
4 of 6
Over 34.5 · avg 71.2
3+ Days Rest
7 of 9
Over 34.5 · avg 63.7
Day Games
5 of 8
Over 34.5 · avg 53
Outdoors
7 of 10
Over 34.5 · avg 60.3
Warm (over 70°F)
3 of 6
Over 34.5 · avg 53.8
Game Log
Longest Completion: 39.5
Best Over -120 at Hard Rock Bet · Best Under -110 at Hard Rock Bet · vs Miami Hurricanes
0 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
2 of 5
Over 39.5 · avg 42.2
Last 10
5 of 10
Over 39.5 · avg 42.7
This Season
3 of 6
Over 39.5 · avg 42.5
All Games Stored
5 of 10
Over 39.5 · avg 42.7
Home
3 of 6
Over 39.5 · avg 41.7
3+ Days Rest
4 of 9
Over 39.5 · avg 42.6
Day Games
4 of 8
Over 39.5 · avg 40.2
Outdoors
5 of 10
Over 39.5 · avg 42.7
Warm (over 70°F)
3 of 6
Over 39.5 · avg 42.5
Game Log
Longest Rush: 19.5
Best Over -110 at theScore Bet · Best Under -120 at theScore Bet · vs Miami Hurricanes
0 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
3 of 5
Over 19.5 · avg 31.6
Last 10
5 of 10
Over 19.5 · avg 24.8
This Season
3 of 6
Over 19.5 · avg 28.5
All Games Stored
5 of 10
Over 19.5 · avg 24.8
Home
5 of 6
Over 19.5 · avg 33.3
3+ Days Rest
5 of 9
Over 19.5 · avg 26.1
Day Games
3 of 8
Over 19.5 · avg 24.2
Outdoors
5 of 10
Over 19.5 · avg 24.8
Warm (over 70°F)
3 of 6
Over 19.5 · avg 28.5
Game Log
Touchdowns: 1.5
Best Over +850 at FanDuel · vs Miami Hurricanes
0 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Last 5
2 of 5
Over 1.5 · avg 1.8
Last 10
3 of 10
Over 1.5 · avg 1.2
This Season
2 of 6
Over 1.5 · avg 1.7
All Games Stored
3 of 10
Over 1.5 · avg 1.2
Home
1 of 6
Over 1.5 · avg 1.2
3+ Days Rest
3 of 9
Over 1.5 · avg 1.2
Day Games
3 of 8
Over 1.5 · avg 1.4
Outdoors
3 of 10
Over 1.5 · avg 1.2
Warm (over 70°F)
2 of 6
Over 1.5 · avg 1.7
Game Log
Receiving Yards
0 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 9, 2026at Louisville Cardinals
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs Virginia Cavaliers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Central Arkansas Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 7, 2026vs SMU Mustangs
0 · No closing line stored
Aug 29, 2026vs New Mexico State Aggies
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 8, 2025at Vanderbilt Commodores
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025vs Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025at Arkansas Razorbacks
0 · No closing line stored
Receptions
0 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 9, 2026at Louisville Cardinals
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs Virginia Cavaliers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Central Arkansas Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 7, 2026vs SMU Mustangs
0 · No closing line stored
Aug 29, 2026vs New Mexico State Aggies
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 8, 2025at Vanderbilt Commodores
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025vs Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025at Arkansas Razorbacks
0 · No closing line stored
Pass Attempts
0 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 9, 2026at Louisville Cardinals
37 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs Virginia Cavaliers
19 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Central Arkansas Bears
18 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Alabama Crimson Tide
29 · No closing line stored
Sep 7, 2026vs SMU Mustangs
23 · No closing line stored
Aug 29, 2026vs New Mexico State Aggies
27 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
39 · No closing line stored
Nov 8, 2025at Vanderbilt Commodores
44 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025vs Kentucky Wildcats
28 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025at Arkansas Razorbacks
8 · No closing line stored
Pass Completions
0 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 9, 2026at Louisville Cardinals
21 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs Virginia Cavaliers
12 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Central Arkansas Bears
12 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Alabama Crimson Tide
17 · No closing line stored
Sep 7, 2026vs SMU Mustangs
12 · No closing line stored
Aug 29, 2026vs New Mexico State Aggies
17 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
18 · No closing line stored
Nov 8, 2025at Vanderbilt Commodores
31 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025vs Kentucky Wildcats
13 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025at Arkansas Razorbacks
6 · No closing line stored
Interceptions Thrown
0 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 9, 2026at Louisville Cardinals
1 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs Virginia Cavaliers
1 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Central Arkansas Bears
1 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Alabama Crimson Tide
3 · No closing line stored
Sep 7, 2026vs SMU Mustangs
0 · No closing line stored
Aug 29, 2026vs New Mexico State Aggies
1 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
1 · No closing line stored
Nov 8, 2025at Vanderbilt Commodores
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025vs Kentucky Wildcats
1 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025at Arkansas Razorbacks
0 · No closing line stored
Pass + Rush Yards
0 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 9, 2026at Louisville Cardinals
254 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs Virginia Cavaliers
319 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Central Arkansas Bears
258 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Alabama Crimson Tide
384 · No closing line stored
Sep 7, 2026vs SMU Mustangs
196 · No closing line stored
Aug 29, 2026vs New Mexico State Aggies
232 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
367 · No closing line stored
Nov 8, 2025at Vanderbilt Commodores
442 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025vs Kentucky Wildcats
156 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025at Arkansas Razorbacks
112 · No closing line stored
Pass + Rush + Rec Yards
0 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 9, 2026at Louisville Cardinals
254 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs Virginia Cavaliers
319 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Central Arkansas Bears
258 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Alabama Crimson Tide
384 · No closing line stored
Sep 7, 2026vs SMU Mustangs
196 · No closing line stored
Aug 29, 2026vs New Mexico State Aggies
232 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
367 · No closing line stored
Nov 8, 2025at Vanderbilt Commodores
442 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025vs Kentucky Wildcats
156 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025at Arkansas Razorbacks
112 · No closing line stored
Rush Attempts
0 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 9, 2026at Louisville Cardinals
13 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs Virginia Cavaliers
17 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Central Arkansas Bears
3 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Alabama Crimson Tide
13 · No closing line stored
Sep 7, 2026vs SMU Mustangs
16 · No closing line stored
Aug 29, 2026vs New Mexico State Aggies
8 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
23 · No closing line stored
Nov 8, 2025at Vanderbilt Commodores
18 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025vs Kentucky Wildcats
15 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025at Arkansas Razorbacks
7 · No closing line stored
Rush + Rec Yards
0 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 9, 2026at Louisville Cardinals
45 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs Virginia Cavaliers
136 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Central Arkansas Bears
34 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Alabama Crimson Tide
7 · No closing line stored
Sep 7, 2026vs SMU Mustangs
71 · No closing line stored
Aug 29, 2026vs New Mexico State Aggies
30 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
108 · No closing line stored
Nov 8, 2025at Vanderbilt Commodores
89 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025vs Kentucky Wildcats
48 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025at Arkansas Razorbacks
35 · No closing line stored
Kicking Points
0 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 9, 2026at Louisville Cardinals
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs Virginia Cavaliers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Central Arkansas Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 7, 2026vs SMU Mustangs
0 · No closing line stored
Aug 29, 2026vs New Mexico State Aggies
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 8, 2025at Vanderbilt Commodores
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025vs Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025at Arkansas Razorbacks
0 · No closing line stored
Field Goals
0 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 9, 2026at Louisville Cardinals
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs Virginia Cavaliers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Central Arkansas Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 7, 2026vs SMU Mustangs
0 · No closing line stored
Aug 29, 2026vs New Mexico State Aggies
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 8, 2025at Vanderbilt Commodores
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025vs Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025at Arkansas Razorbacks
0 · No closing line stored
Extra Points Made
0 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 9, 2026at Louisville Cardinals
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs Virginia Cavaliers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Central Arkansas Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 7, 2026vs SMU Mustangs
0 · No closing line stored
Aug 29, 2026vs New Mexico State Aggies
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 8, 2025at Vanderbilt Commodores
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025vs Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025at Arkansas Razorbacks
0 · No closing line stored
Sacks
0 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 9, 2026at Louisville Cardinals
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs Virginia Cavaliers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Central Arkansas Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 7, 2026vs SMU Mustangs
0 · No closing line stored
Aug 29, 2026vs New Mexico State Aggies
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 8, 2025at Vanderbilt Commodores
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025vs Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025at Arkansas Razorbacks
0 · No closing line stored
Solo Tackles
0 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 9, 2026at Louisville Cardinals
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs Virginia Cavaliers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Central Arkansas Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 7, 2026vs SMU Mustangs
0 · No closing line stored
Aug 29, 2026vs New Mexico State Aggies
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 8, 2025at Vanderbilt Commodores
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025vs Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025at Arkansas Razorbacks
0 · No closing line stored
Tackles + Assists
0 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 9, 2026at Louisville Cardinals
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs Virginia Cavaliers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Central Arkansas Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 7, 2026vs SMU Mustangs
0 · No closing line stored
Aug 29, 2026vs New Mexico State Aggies
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 8, 2025at Vanderbilt Commodores
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025vs Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025at Arkansas Razorbacks
0 · No closing line stored
Defensive INTs
0 of 10 games graded against the line that game closed at.
Game Log
Oct 9, 2026at Louisville Cardinals
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 3, 2026vs Virginia Cavaliers
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 26, 2026vs Central Arkansas Bears
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 19, 2026at Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Sep 7, 2026vs SMU Mustangs
0 · No closing line stored
Aug 29, 2026vs New Mexico State Aggies
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 29, 2025vs Alabama Crimson Tide
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 8, 2025at Vanderbilt Commodores
0 · No closing line stored
Nov 1, 2025vs Kentucky Wildcats
0 · No closing line stored
Oct 25, 2025at Arkansas Razorbacks
0 · No closing line stored
How These Hit Rates Are Counted
The line. Every count is against the line most books hang on this prop today, the line shown at the top of each section. A game exactly on a whole-number line is a push and shown as one.
The game log. Each past game shows the stat and, where we stored the prop's closing line for that game, the line it closed at and whether the stat went over, under or pushed against it. A game with no stored closing line shows the stat alone.
The games. From the box scores ESPN publishes, stored once per game, the same numbers the site's prop grading reads. Last season is kept for the whole season. A split with fewer than 5 games is hidden, never shown as a streak.
Opponents. Top 10 and Bottom 10 defenses are ranked from our own logs: the total of this stat every opposing player recorded against a team, per game, over the last 150 days.
Rest, travel and conditions. From each game's own context: days since the team's previous game, and for outdoor football the weather at the nearest airport weather station closest to kickoff (from the National Weather Service, or for games more than a week old the Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive of the same stations). Indoor games are never given weather.
Past results, not predictions. The betting line already reflects most of what is on this page.
