Sportsbook Odds Report: July 2026
DraftKings was at or tied for the best available price more often than any other venue with unaffected pricing in July 2026, leading on 49.2% of the 456,000 sides it quoted, which were 12.9% of every price recorded that month. LowVig was second at 44.2% of 158,694 sides, then ProphetX at 39.1% of 2,338 sides.
Sample: 3,525,780 recorded prices across 19 sportsbooks and prediction markets, 2026-07-01 to 2026-07-31 (31 days with recorded scans).
Data quality note, July 26, 2026. Exchange prices recorded before 2026-07-20 included a pricing artifact that has since been corrected, so the exchange shares below are overstated for this month.
- Polymarket, fixed 2026-07-15 (b07155b): Polymarket's sports taker fee was modelled at 0.03 where their mid-2026 schedule is 0.05, so its prices were shown slightly cheaper than a taker actually pays. Part of this month predates that fix.
- Kalshi, fixed 2026-07-20 (56c129f): Kalshi quotes could fall back to the bid when no ask was resting, crediting Kalshi with prices nobody could fill (one Rangers moneyline showed -136 where the executable ask was -167). Part of this month predates that fix.
- Kalshi, fixed 2026-07-04 (a1a7f13): a Kalshi home/away inversion put one side's price on the other side. Part of this month predates that fix.
Separately, and for every venue rather than only the exchanges, raw best-price share rewards a venue for the markets it declines to quote. Measured like for like on identical lines, the exchanges do not lead. See the correction of July 26, 2026 and the method note further down this page.
Which sportsbook had the best odds most often in July 2026?
Best-price share is the share of the sides a venue quoted where its price was at or tied for the highest payout of every venue quoting that same side. Each venue is measured against its own coverage, so a book that prices fewer games is not penalised for the games it skipped. Sample size is listed for every row because the denominators differ.
Coverage is the share of every price recorded this month that came from that venue. It is the check on the share beside it: a high best-price share on low coverage means the venue won most of the few sides it chose to quote, not that it beat the market. With 19 venues recording prices, an even split would put each near 5.3%.
- DraftKings: 49.2% of 456,000 sides quoted, over 31 days (12.9% coverage; worst price on 41.5%)
- LowVig: 44.2% of 158,694 sides quoted, over 31 days (4.5% coverage; worst price on 2.0%)
- ProphetX (prediction market): 39.1% of 2,338 sides quoted, over 19 days (0.1% coverage; worst price on 0.0%)
- Pinnacle: 34.7% of 98,924 sides quoted, over 31 days (2.8% coverage; worst price on 3.5%)
- Polymarket (prediction market): 31.4% of 49,064 sides quoted, over 31 days (1.4% coverage; worst price on 12.4%; overstated, see the data quality note above)
- FanDuel: 27.7% of 270,230 sides quoted, over 31 days (7.7% coverage; worst price on 28.5%)
- Caesars: 26.3% of 370,006 sides quoted, over 31 days (10.5% coverage; worst price on 36.6%)
- Hard Rock Bet: 21.5% of 259,920 sides quoted, over 31 days (7.4% coverage; worst price on 22.6%)
- theScore Bet: 18.9% of 164,846 sides quoted, over 31 days (4.7% coverage; worst price on 19.4%)
- Bally Bet: 17.5% of 219,432 sides quoted, over 31 days (6.2% coverage; worst price on 10.6%)
- BetParx: 17.5% of 217,754 sides quoted, over 31 days (6.2% coverage; worst price on 10.2%)
- Fanatics: 15.4% of 129,634 sides quoted, over 31 days (3.7% coverage; worst price on 17.2%)
- BetOnline: 15.2% of 182,900 sides quoted, over 31 days (5.2% coverage; worst price on 17.9%)
- Bovada: 15.0% of 207,574 sides quoted, over 31 days (5.9% coverage; worst price on 20.8%)
- BetMGM: 14.9% of 192,104 sides quoted, over 31 days (5.4% coverage; worst price on 23.5%)
- Kalshi (prediction market): 13.3% of 75,224 sides quoted, over 31 days (2.1% coverage; worst price on 21.9%; overstated, see the data quality note above)
- MyBookie: 10.6% of 202,654 sides quoted, over 31 days (5.7% coverage; worst price on 29.0%)
- BetRivers: 7.0% of 214,838 sides quoted, over 31 days (6.1% coverage; worst price on 32.4%)
- Fliff: 2.9% of 53,644 sides quoted, over 31 days (1.5% coverage; worst price on 47.3%)
Do prediction markets beat sportsbooks on price?
July 2026, measured the same way on both sides. Each group's denominator is the sides its own members actually quoted, so this is not distorted by the exchanges covering fewer games.
| Venue type | Venues | Sides quoted | At or tied for best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction markets (ProphetX, Polymarket, Kalshi) | 3 | 126,626 | 20.8% |
| Traditional sportsbooks | 16 | 3,399,154 | 23.8% |
Exchange prices in this comparison are fee-adjusted: Kalshi and Polymarket US include each venue's taker fee and ProphetX its commission on winning bets, so an exchange number is what a taker actually pays. We publish this comparison and not a "share of all best prices" figure, because best-price credit is shared among tied venues, which would hand the larger group an advantage that is an artefact of counting rather than of pricing.
Which book led each sport?
NCAAF
1,262,768 sides across 31 days. Leader: LowVig, at or tied for the best price on 57.4% of the 55,680 sides it quoted, which were 4.4% of this sport's recorded prices.
| # | Venue | Best-price share | Sides quoted | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LowVig | 57.4% | 55,680 | 4.4% |
| 2 | FanDuel | 36.9% | 132,202 | 10.5% |
| 3 | Fanatics | 36.3% | 37,498 | 3.0% |
| 4 | Kalshi (exchange) (overstated, see note) | 34.6% | 4,034 | 0.3% |
| 5 | DraftKings | 29.1% | 124,608 | 9.9% |
| 6 | Hard Rock Bet | 28.8% | 130,030 | 10.3% |
NFL
887,424 sides across 31 days. Leader: DraftKings, at or tied for the best price on 72.0% of the 213,394 sides it quoted, which were 24.0% of this sport's recorded prices.
| # | Venue | Best-price share | Sides quoted | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DraftKings | 72.0% | 213,394 | 24.0% |
| 2 | Caesars | 39.2% | 170,954 | 19.3% |
| 3 | LowVig | 34.0% | 35,884 | 4.0% |
| 4 | Pinnacle | 32.4% | 31,424 | 3.5% |
| 5 | FanDuel | 24.3% | 44,094 | 5.0% |
| 6 | Bovada | 20.7% | 34,764 | 3.9% |
MLB
544,466 sides across 31 days. Leader: Pinnacle, at or tied for the best price on 35.6% of the 27,878 sides it quoted, which were 5.1% of this sport's recorded prices.
| # | Venue | Best-price share | Sides quoted | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polymarket (exchange) (overstated, see note) | 38.4% | 24,728 | 4.5% |
| 2 | Pinnacle | 35.6% | 27,878 | 5.1% |
| 3 | LowVig | 30.2% | 30,592 | 5.6% |
| 4 | BetOnline | 14.6% | 30,584 | 5.6% |
| 5 | FanDuel | 9.7% | 36,472 | 6.7% |
| 6 | BetRivers | 8.3% | 26,992 | 5.0% |
MLS
220,178 sides across 31 days. Leader: BetOnline, at or tied for the best price on 52.6% of the 21,430 sides it quoted, which were 9.7% of this sport's recorded prices.
| # | Venue | Best-price share | Sides quoted | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BetOnline | 52.6% | 21,430 | 9.7% |
| 2 | LowVig | 52.6% | 21,430 | 9.7% |
| 3 | Pinnacle | 49.8% | 13,082 | 5.9% |
| 4 | BetRivers | 38.2% | 16,334 | 7.4% |
| 5 | FanDuel | 38.1% | 14,896 | 6.8% |
| 6 | Bally Bet | 28.0% | 16,326 | 7.4% |
WNBA
172,124 sides across 31 days. Leader: LowVig, at or tied for the best price on 32.9% of the 8,170 sides it quoted, which were 4.7% of this sport's recorded prices.
| # | Venue | Best-price share | Sides quoted | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LowVig | 32.9% | 8,170 | 4.7% |
| 2 | theScore Bet | 22.4% | 13,336 | 7.7% |
| 3 | Polymarket (exchange) (overstated, see note) | 21.1% | 11,092 | 6.4% |
| 4 | Kalshi (exchange) (overstated, see note) | 16.7% | 6,450 | 3.7% |
| 5 | BetMGM | 16.0% | 9,822 | 5.7% |
| 6 | BetParx | 16.0% | 9,724 | 5.6% |
UFC
167,258 sides across 31 days. Leader: BetOnline, at or tied for the best price on 33.0% of the 18,268 sides it quoted, which were 10.9% of this sport's recorded prices.
| # | Venue | Best-price share | Sides quoted | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BetOnline | 33.0% | 18,268 | 10.9% |
| 2 | Polymarket (exchange) (overstated, see note) | 29.0% | 10,926 | 6.5% |
| 3 | Pinnacle | 15.7% | 11,870 | 7.1% |
| 4 | BetMGM | 13.2% | 9,312 | 5.6% |
| 5 | DraftKings | 12.6% | 14,538 | 8.7% |
| 6 | Kalshi (exchange) (overstated, see note) | 12.6% | 9,940 | 5.9% |
NHL
123,766 sides across 17 days. Leader: DraftKings, at or tied for the best price on 69.9% of the 42,090 sides it quoted, which were 34.0% of this sport's recorded prices.
| # | Venue | Best-price share | Sides quoted | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DraftKings | 69.9% | 42,090 | 34.0% |
| 2 | BetOnline | 50.5% | 3,960 | 3.2% |
| 3 | LowVig | 50.5% | 3,960 | 3.2% |
| 4 | Caesars | 46.6% | 19,754 | 16.0% |
| 5 | Hard Rock Bet | 35.0% | 19,834 | 16.0% |
| 6 | FanDuel | 24.9% | 6,090 | 4.9% |
Tennis
82,624 sides across 17 days. Leader: Pinnacle, at or tied for the best price on 53.2% of the 5,244 sides it quoted, which were 6.3% of this sport's recorded prices.
| # | Venue | Best-price share | Sides quoted | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kalshi (exchange) (overstated, see note) | 100.0% | 2,696 | 3.3% |
| 2 | Pinnacle | 53.2% | 5,244 | 6.3% |
| 3 | BetOnline | 19.3% | 3,272 | 4.0% |
| 4 | FanDuel | 18.0% | 5,916 | 7.2% |
| 5 | LowVig | 17.2% | 1,446 | 1.8% |
| 6 | Hard Rock Bet | 11.6% | 5,854 | 7.1% |
World Cup
65,172 sides across 19 days. Leader: Pinnacle, at or tied for the best price on 51.7% of the 4,632 sides it quoted, which were 7.1% of this sport's recorded prices.
| # | Venue | Best-price share | Sides quoted | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pinnacle | 51.7% | 4,632 | 7.1% |
| 2 | LowVig | 42.4% | 1,532 | 2.4% |
| 3 | ProphetX (exchange) | 39.1% | 2,338 | 3.6% |
| 4 | BetOnline | 36.9% | 5,520 | 8.5% |
| 5 | Polymarket (exchange) (overstated, see note) | 17.2% | 2,318 | 3.6% |
| 6 | BetMGM | 12.9% | 4,644 | 7.1% |
What was the widest price gap of the month?
The largest single moneyline gap recorded in July 2026 was 77.0 percentage points of implied probability, on Wellington Turman at Islam Dulatov (UFC). Caesars paid +750 on Islam Dulatov, where Kalshi paid -788.
Drawn from 62,195 gap observations recorded in July 2026. This is a single recorded scan, not an average.
How is this measured, and what does it not measure?
On every scan we record each venue's price on both sides of every game, then count how often each venue was at or tied for the highest payout on a side it quoted. Ties credit every venue holding the top price, so a book that consistently matches the market's best is not scored as though it lost. The full arithmetic, including how prediction-market fees are applied before any comparison, is on the methodology page.
This is best-or-tied share of each venue's own quoted sides. It is not the matched-lines metric. Because the denominator is only the sides a venue chose to quote, this measure rewards selective quoting: a venue that prices a narrow slice of the market and skips the rest can post a high share without ever beating the field on a like-for-like bet. That is what the coverage column beside each figure is there to expose.
The stricter measure, and this site's single source of truth for who actually has the best prices, is matched lines: it keeps only the games where every venue in the comparison quoted the same market at the same line, and ranks who won the price on those. It discards far more data and is much harder to lead. On that measure the exchanges do not lead, and no book dominates. The live matched-lines view is on Book Comparison, and the reasoning is set out in the correction of July 26, 2026. Where the two measures disagree, matched lines is the one to believe.
Data: 2026-07-01 to 2026-07-31. Generated September 10, 2026 at 08:43 PM ET. July 2026 has closed, so this report is final and is not revised.
The Odds Gap publishes where the same bet paid more. It does not sell picks and makes no income claims. Always verify a price at the book before placing any bet.