Lucas Fernando vs Rafael Tobias Odds
Best UFC price on Lucas Fernando vs Rafael Tobias, compared across every major US sportsbook plus Kalshi, Polymarket, and ProphetX. Sat Aug 15, 10:00 PM ET.
Odds from the latest scan: August 8, 10:11 PM ET. Games starting within 24 hours refresh every minute; later games every 30 minutes and every hour as kickoff approaches during the beta; the free board refreshes hourly.
Moneyline
Every Book's Moneyline
| Book | Lucas Fernando | Rafael Tobias |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | -291 | +240 |
| Novig | -292 | +239 |
| DraftKings | -285 | +230 |
| Caesars | -270 | +220 |
| Polymarket US | -273 | +220 |
| Kalshi | -305 | +217 |
| ProphetX | -311 | +216 |
| BetOnline | -260 | +215 |
| FanDuel | -265 | +200 |
| Fliff | -260 | +195 |
| BetParx | -245 | +190 |
| Bally Bet | -245 | +190 |
| BetRivers | -245 | +190 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -240 | +190 |
14 books priced this game. Prediction market prices (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX) include trading fees, so they are directly comparable to sportsbook lines.
On Lucas Fernando vs Rafael Tobias, the best available price is not the same at every book. One sportsbook might post a side at -110 while another has it at -102, and taking the better number is the one edge you fully control. The Odds Gap scans every major US sportsbook plus the Kalshi, Polymarket, and ProphetX exchanges and flags where the best price sits on each side of this UFC matchup.
How to read these Lucas Fernando vs Rafael Tobias odds
The cards above show the best moneyline price on each side and which book has it. For every book's price on every market, open the game in the Line Shop.
What the Price Gap Is Worth
Across the 14 books quoting this side, the best price is +240 at Pinnacle and the worst is +190 at BetParx. Same bet, same outcome, $50.00 difference in profit on a $100 stake. Nothing about the wager changes, only where you place it.
- Lucas Fernando: best -240 (Hard Rock Bet), worst -311 (ProphetX)
- Rafael Tobias: best +240 (Pinnacle), worst +190 (BetParx)
Where This Line Opened
We capture the opening number once from the historical archive, so this is the price that was actually posted at Pinnacle, not a reconstruction.
- Rafael Tobias: opened +183, now +240 (57 cents longer)
- Lucas Fernando: opened -218, now -240 (22 cents shorter)
The charts above plot every scan since, so you can see whether the move came in one step or drifted.
Lucas Fernando vs Rafael Tobias Odds: Common Questions
Who has the best odds on Lucas Fernando vs Rafael Tobias?
At the latest scan Hard Rock Bet pays the most on Lucas Fernando at -240, and Pinnacle pays the most on Rafael Tobias at +240. Those are two different books more often than not, and the best number moves as books reprice, so check the table on this page before you bet rather than assuming one book wins both sides.
How much does the price differ between sportsbooks on this game?
Right now 14 books price this side, and the spread between the best and worst of them is +240 at Pinnacle versus +190 at BetParx. On a $100 bet that is $50.00 more in your pocket for the same wager, won or lost the same way. That difference is the entire reason this page exists.
Where did the Lucas Fernando vs Rafael Tobias line open?
Rafael Tobias opened +183 at Pinnacle and is +240 now. We capture the opener once from the historical archive rather than inferring it, so the number on this page is the price that was actually posted, and the movement charts above plot every scan since.
How often do these UFC odds update?
The free board rescans every hour from 7am to 9pm ET; Live Beta, free with an email signup during the beta, refreshes every minute. This page was last scanned August 8, 10:11 PM ET, and that timestamp is shown above the table.
Does The Odds Gap pick a side on Lucas Fernando vs Rafael Tobias?
No. There is no model, no projection, and no lean anywhere on this site. We show which book pays the most on a bet you have already decided to make. Math, not picks.
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